Menu
Sign In Search Podcasts Libraries Charts People & Topics Add Podcast API Blog Pricing

Dr Sam Wylie

πŸ‘€ Speaker
1015 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Australian Finance Podcast
Expert Economist: Inflation, HECs, buying a property & recessions

It's hard to hire people to do anything at the moment.

Australian Finance Podcast
Expert Economist: Inflation, HECs, buying a property & recessions

There's so many, so the labor market's very tight at the moment and wages, unemployment's at a record low.

Australian Finance Podcast
Expert Economist: Inflation, HECs, buying a property & recessions

of 3.6%.

Australian Finance Podcast
Expert Economist: Inflation, HECs, buying a property & recessions

Wages are starting to rise, not as quickly as inflation's gone up, consumer price inflation's gone up.

Australian Finance Podcast
Expert Economist: Inflation, HECs, buying a property & recessions

And this is a legitimate concern and complaint of people that my wage hasn't gone up as much as prices have gone up.

Australian Finance Podcast
Expert Economist: Inflation, HECs, buying a property & recessions

So wages have gone up about 3%.

Australian Finance Podcast
Expert Economist: Inflation, HECs, buying a property & recessions

Over the last year, prices have gone up 5.1%.

Australian Finance Podcast
Expert Economist: Inflation, HECs, buying a property & recessions

So you can see that in real terms,

Australian Finance Podcast
Expert Economist: Inflation, HECs, buying a property & recessions

Workers have gone backwards, and the frustration with that is sort of evident everywhere, including the recent federal election.

Australian Finance Podcast
Expert Economist: Inflation, HECs, buying a property & recessions

The reverse of that will happen when the recession comes along.

Australian Finance Podcast
Expert Economist: Inflation, HECs, buying a property & recessions

Instead of the labor market being very tight and wages rising and unemployment being low, the opposite will happen.

Australian Finance Podcast
Expert Economist: Inflation, HECs, buying a property & recessions

then it'll be hard to find jobs and wage growth will go down.

Australian Finance Podcast
Expert Economist: Inflation, HECs, buying a property & recessions

So there's that negative impact of a recession.

Australian Finance Podcast
Expert Economist: Inflation, HECs, buying a property & recessions

One helpful thing for people will be if you have a mortgage, then the RBA to speed up the economy in the way that we've been talking about before, instead of raising interest rates, they'll lower interest rates.

Australian Finance Podcast
Expert Economist: Inflation, HECs, buying a property & recessions

And so your mortgage would go down, your mortgage interest rate would go down if you have a variable rate mortgage.

Australian Finance Podcast
Expert Economist: Inflation, HECs, buying a property & recessions

If you had a fixed rate mortgage, then of course it'll be fixed.

Australian Finance Podcast
Expert Economist: Inflation, HECs, buying a property & recessions

But that'll be two primary effects.

Australian Finance Podcast
Expert Economist: Inflation, HECs, buying a property & recessions

Okay, it's a very deep question, Arwen.

Australian Finance Podcast
Expert Economist: Inflation, HECs, buying a property & recessions

And let me say that I think that young people have to take, everyone, right?

Australian Finance Podcast
Expert Economist: Inflation, HECs, buying a property & recessions

But of course, your listeners have just got more years in the workforce ahead of them than old baby boomers like me.