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Dr Sam Wylie

πŸ‘€ Speaker
1015 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Australian Finance Podcast
Expert Economist: Inflation, HECs, buying a property & recessions

There'll be the inflation growth in profits because the costs can be passed on.

Australian Finance Podcast
Expert Economist: Inflation, HECs, buying a property & recessions

Next day, everyone's bearish.

Australian Finance Podcast
Expert Economist: Inflation, HECs, buying a property & recessions

Oh no, we're heading into a recession.

Australian Finance Podcast
Expert Economist: Inflation, HECs, buying a property & recessions

and we won't be able to pass the costs on, so it's all going to go down.

Australian Finance Podcast
Expert Economist: Inflation, HECs, buying a property & recessions

So it's very volatile because of that switching backwards and forwards between being bullish and being bearish about it.

Australian Finance Podcast
Expert Economist: Inflation, HECs, buying a property & recessions

I can give you my view here.

Australian Finance Podcast
Expert Economist: Inflation, HECs, buying a property & recessions

So I should say that we are about to step away from the world of economics and science and into the murky world of Sam's opinion.

Australian Finance Podcast
Expert Economist: Inflation, HECs, buying a property & recessions

And we need to be clear on that.

Australian Finance Podcast
Expert Economist: Inflation, HECs, buying a property & recessions

So here in Sam's opinion, I'm concerned about it.

Australian Finance Podcast
Expert Economist: Inflation, HECs, buying a property & recessions

So I wouldn't be inclined to increase investments in shares, especially in the U.S.,

Australian Finance Podcast
Expert Economist: Inflation, HECs, buying a property & recessions

So I think that the US shares are more vulnerable to increases in inflation than Australian shares.

Australian Finance Podcast
Expert Economist: Inflation, HECs, buying a property & recessions

They're starting from a much higher point, from a much more pumped up value or overvaluation of US shares.

Australian Finance Podcast
Expert Economist: Inflation, HECs, buying a property & recessions

And the Australian market's not.

Australian Finance Podcast
Expert Economist: Inflation, HECs, buying a property & recessions

And the US market's more vulnerable to increases in inflation.

Australian Finance Podcast
Expert Economist: Inflation, HECs, buying a property & recessions

There's a lot more quantitative easing that has to be unwound in the US than has to be unwound in Australia.

Australian Finance Podcast
Expert Economist: Inflation, HECs, buying a property & recessions

Remember, QE only started in Australia in COVID-19, and it started many years before that in the US.

Australian Finance Podcast
Expert Economist: Inflation, HECs, buying a property & recessions

So for a variety of reasons, I'm much more bullish about Australian shares than about US shares.

Australian Finance Podcast
Expert Economist: Inflation, HECs, buying a property & recessions

And it does depend upon how inflation plays out.

Australian Finance Podcast
Expert Economist: Inflation, HECs, buying a property & recessions

Now, let me just say one last thing.

Australian Finance Podcast
Expert Economist: Inflation, HECs, buying a property & recessions

And I'll just say it very quickly.