Dr. Stephen Meyer
π€ SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
So if you've got something that's super improbable, you can say, well, that wouldn't happen by chance.
Well, you can't say that right away.
You have to know how many opportunities there are for it to happen by chance.
And if the number of opportunities are sufficient,
then something might happen by chance.
A simple example, think of a bike lock.
Imagine there's a nice bike locked up outside, and you've got a thief that comes along, and you've got a four-dial lock, so that's 10,000 possible combinations.
If the thief has five minutes before the security guard is going to come around the corner, it's more likely than not that he will fail to open the lock by chance.
Of course.
He doesn't have enough opportunities.
But if he's committed to staying thereβ 10,000 hours.
Yeah.
I think it was 15 hours I calculated it.
If he did one combination each 10 seconds, then he'd get to more than 5,000 combinations within 15 hours, at which point it would be more likely than not that he would open the lock by chance.
So you always have to know the probabilistic resources.
But the kinds of probabilities that we're dealing with in relation to the resources available remain small, remain infinitesimally small.
Unless, in the case of the fine-tuning, you invoke something called the multiverse.
Yeah, well, that's their answer.
And you've probably heard of that, and I love to talk about that, so I'll cue you up to ask.
Marvel loves that.