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Dwarkesh Patel

πŸ‘€ Speaker
15656 total appearances
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Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

Yeah.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

But I guess maybe less abstractly and more sort of like qualitatively, do you expect something to feel like, okay, because this thing can either think so fast or has so many copies or the copies can merge back in themselves or is quote unquote much smarter, any number of advantages an AI might have.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

It will qualitatively, the civilization in which these AIs exist will just feel qualitatively different from human civilization.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

Let me probe on that a bit.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

It's not clear to me that loss of control and loss of understanding are the same things.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

A board of directors at, like, whatever, TSMC, Intel, name a random company, they're just, like, prestigious 80-year-olds.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

They have very little understanding.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

And maybe they don't practically actually have control.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

But...

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

Or, actually, maybe a better example is the president of the United States.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

The president has a lot of fucking power.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

I'm not trying to make a good statement about the current operant, but maybe I am.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

But, like, the actual level of understanding is very different from the level of control.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

How come?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

I mean, the loss of understanding is obvious, but why a loss of control?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

It is not the fact that they are smarter than us that is resulting in a loss of control.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

It is the fact that they are competing with each other and whatever arises out of that competition that leads to the loss of control.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

Yeah, yeah.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

This is a question I should have asked earlier.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

So we were talking about how currently it feels like when you're doing AI engineering or AI research, these models are more like in the category of compiler rather than in the category of a replacement.