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Dwarkesh Patel

πŸ‘€ Speaker
15656 total appearances
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Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

Whereas humans, you know, like we have hands that like reward being able to learn how to do tool use, we can externalize digestion, more energy to the brain, and that kicks off the flywheel.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

The way Byrne put it is the reason it was so hard is it's a very tight line between being in a situation where something is so important to learn and

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

that it's not just worth distilling the exact right circuits directly back into your DNA versus it's not important enough to learn at all.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

It has to be something which is like, you have to incentivize building the algorithm to learn

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

In lifetime.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

So Quentin Pope had this interesting blog post where he's saying the reasoning doesn't expect a sharp takeoff is...

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

So humans had the sharp takeoff where 60,000 years ago, we seem to have had the cognitive architectures that we have today.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

And 10,000 years ago, agricultural revolution, modernity, dot, dot, dot.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

What was happening in that 50,000 years?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

Well, you had to build this sort of like cultural scaffold where you can accumulate knowledge over generations.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

This is an ability that exists for free in the way we do AI training today.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

Where if you retrain a model, it can still, I mean, in many cases, they're literally distilled, but they can be trained on each other.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

You know, they can be trained on the same pre-training corpus.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

They don't literally have to start from scratch.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

So there's a sense in which the thing which it took humans a long time to get this cultural loop going just comes for free with the way we do LLM training.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

When would you expect that kind of thing to start happening?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

And more general question about like multi-agent systems and a sort of like independent AI civilization and culture.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

And can you identify the key bottleneck that's preventing this kind of collaboration between LLMs?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

Maybe like the way I would put it is...

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy β€” AGI is still a decade away

Yeah.