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Dylan Patel

๐Ÿ‘ค Person
3551 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Satya Nadella โ€” How Microsoft is preparing for AGI

And it's, you know, I just want you to like more concretely state that this is the business you don't want to be in.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Satya Nadella โ€” How Microsoft is preparing for AGI

But like Oracle is going from like one fifth your size to bigger than you by end of 2027.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Satya Nadella โ€” How Microsoft is preparing for AGI

Right.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Satya Nadella โ€” How Microsoft is preparing for AGI

And while it's not a Microsoft-level quality of return on invested capital, they're still making 35% gross margins.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Satya Nadella โ€” How Microsoft is preparing for AGI

The question is, hey, it's not Microsoft's business to maybe do this, but you've created a hyperscaler now.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Satya Nadella โ€” How Microsoft is preparing for AGI

by refusing this business, by giving away the right of first refusal, et cetera.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Satya Nadella โ€” How Microsoft is preparing for AGI

So there's sort of two questions here, right?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Satya Nadella โ€” How Microsoft is preparing for AGI

Like why couldn't you just do both is one.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Satya Nadella โ€” How Microsoft is preparing for AGI

And then the other one is, given our estimates on what your capacity is in 2028 is three and a half gigawatts lower.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Satya Nadella โ€” How Microsoft is preparing for AGI

Sure, you could have dedicated that to OpenAI training and inference capacity, but you could have also dedicated that to, hey, this three and a half gigawatts is actually just running Azure, is running Microsoft 365, it's running GitHub Copilot.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Satya Nadella โ€” How Microsoft is preparing for AGI

It doesn't actually, I could have built it and not given it to OpenAI.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Satya Nadella โ€” How Microsoft is preparing for AGI

How do I rationalize this statement with what you've done over the last few weeks?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Satya Nadella โ€” How Microsoft is preparing for AGI

You've announced deals with Iris Energy, with Nebius and Lambda Labs, and there's a few more coming as well.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Satya Nadella โ€” How Microsoft is preparing for AGI

You're going out there and securing capacity that you're renting from the neoclouds.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Satya Nadella โ€” How Microsoft is preparing for AGI

Yeah, and then when you look at where they are, Google's way ahead of everyone else.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Satya Nadella โ€” How Microsoft is preparing for AGI

They've been doing it for the longest.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Satya Nadella โ€” How Microsoft is preparing for AGI

They're going to make something like 5 to 7 million chips of their own TPUs.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Satya Nadella โ€” How Microsoft is preparing for AGI

You look at Amazon, they're trying to make 3 to 5 million.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Satya Nadella โ€” How Microsoft is preparing for AGI

But when we look at what Microsoft is ordering of their own chips, it's way below that number.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Satya Nadella โ€” How Microsoft is preparing for AGI

You've had a program for just as long.