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Ed Elson

👤 Speaker
7731 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Prof G Markets
The $1.5B Insider Trade Before Trump’s Iran Post — ft. Anthony Scaramucci

People got crushed.

Prof G Markets
The $1.5B Insider Trade Before Trump’s Iran Post — ft. Anthony Scaramucci

It was just total chaos.

Prof G Markets
The $1.5B Insider Trade Before Trump’s Iran Post — ft. Anthony Scaramucci

And everyone knows about your role in that story.

Prof G Markets
The $1.5B Insider Trade Before Trump’s Iran Post — ft. Anthony Scaramucci

Which is an important point because that is where the mind goes to.

Prof G Markets
The $1.5B Insider Trade Before Trump’s Iran Post — ft. Anthony Scaramucci

But it does seem, I mean, when you think about the dynamics here, if I could just try to like simplify really what's happening, it's almost like this big, a huge amount of leverage was built up on top of these software acquisitions.

Prof G Markets
The $1.5B Insider Trade Before Trump’s Iran Post — ft. Anthony Scaramucci

And now that everyone has decided actually maybe those acquisitions weren't such a good idea, suddenly it means that the lending that was built on top of those acquisitions was an even worse idea.

Prof G Markets
The $1.5B Insider Trade Before Trump’s Iran Post — ft. Anthony Scaramucci

Those could get totally wiped out.

Prof G Markets
The $1.5B Insider Trade Before Trump’s Iran Post — ft. Anthony Scaramucci

And the dynamics-

Prof G Markets
The $1.5B Insider Trade Before Trump’s Iran Post — ft. Anthony Scaramucci

Yes.

Prof G Markets
The $1.5B Insider Trade Before Trump’s Iran Post — ft. Anthony Scaramucci

Right.

Prof G Markets
The $1.5B Insider Trade Before Trump’s Iran Post — ft. Anthony Scaramucci

And in that dynamic, what you have is, as we've discussed here, these withdrawal requirements that are becoming more and more discussed in the news, which has the feeling of a bank run.

Prof G Markets
The $1.5B Insider Trade Before Trump’s Iran Post — ft. Anthony Scaramucci

It's like, oh, no, I'm not so confident anymore.

Prof G Markets
The $1.5B Insider Trade Before Trump’s Iran Post — ft. Anthony Scaramucci

I want to take my money out.

Prof G Markets
The $1.5B Insider Trade Before Trump’s Iran Post — ft. Anthony Scaramucci

And the banks say, no, you can't take your money out, which makes people even more anxious.

Prof G Markets
The $1.5B Insider Trade Before Trump’s Iran Post — ft. Anthony Scaramucci

They want to keep taking the money out.

Prof G Markets
The $1.5B Insider Trade Before Trump’s Iran Post — ft. Anthony Scaramucci

which is kind of the problem.

Prof G Markets
The $1.5B Insider Trade Before Trump’s Iran Post — ft. Anthony Scaramucci

And in the case of a regular bank, the people who are trying to take their money out are regular people.

Prof G Markets
The $1.5B Insider Trade Before Trump’s Iran Post — ft. Anthony Scaramucci

In the case of the private credit markets, it seems that it's mostly not regular people, but also kind of regular people because, as you say, they opened it up to retail.

Prof G Markets
The $1.5B Insider Trade Before Trump’s Iran Post — ft. Anthony Scaramucci

Yeah.

Prof G Markets
The $1.5B Insider Trade Before Trump’s Iran Post — ft. Anthony Scaramucci

I guess the final question before I let you go here is, you know, if this occurs, if the credit cycle does occur here, how bad would it be?