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Ed Elson

👤 Speaker
561 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Prof G Markets
Trump’s 25% Iran Tariffs Explained

Because as we discussed last week, the government shutdown did impact the CPI report from November.

Prof G Markets
Trump’s 25% Iran Tariffs Explained

And then the question now is, did it affect this one too?

Prof G Markets
Trump’s 25% Iran Tariffs Explained

Here to help us answer that very important question, we have Mark Zandi, Chief Economist at Moody's Analytics.

Prof G Markets
Trump’s 25% Iran Tariffs Explained

Mark, thank you for joining us again on Profit Markets.

Prof G Markets
Trump’s 25% Iran Tariffs Explained

So my first question to you, we discussed the previous CPI report, and you explained to us how the previous one from November was flawed.

Prof G Markets
Trump’s 25% Iran Tariffs Explained

we've got a similar report, a similar number, 2.7%.

Prof G Markets
Trump’s 25% Iran Tariffs Explained

I guess my first question to you, is this report flawed as well?

Prof G Markets
Trump’s 25% Iran Tariffs Explained

So I feel like this is a far larger story than what we're seeing in the news right now, where people are just kind of taking these numbers at face value.

Prof G Markets
Trump’s 25% Iran Tariffs Explained

And what you're telling us is you're running your own analysis that is making up for the adjustments that they missed in October.

Prof G Markets
Trump’s 25% Iran Tariffs Explained

which says that it's not 2.7%, it's 3%.

Prof G Markets
Trump’s 25% Iran Tariffs Explained

And considering this is one of the biggest issues in the nation right now, I think that this should be kind of more of a big deal, or at least people should talk about it more.

Prof G Markets
Trump’s 25% Iran Tariffs Explained

I guess, tell us more about how the report is flawed.

Prof G Markets
Trump’s 25% Iran Tariffs Explained

Like, we know that they were missing data in October.

Prof G Markets
Trump’s 25% Iran Tariffs Explained

How does that affect both November and December in the CPI report?

Prof G Markets
Trump’s 25% Iran Tariffs Explained

Yeah, everyone except for basically the person that matters, which is the president who was on Truth Social saying, we have a great low inflation report and taking these numbers at face value, which seems like a problem.

Prof G Markets
Trump’s 25% Iran Tariffs Explained

I guess we can just put that aside for now.

Prof G Markets
Trump’s 25% Iran Tariffs Explained

My question, you know, we had this flawed report for November.

Prof G Markets
Trump’s 25% Iran Tariffs Explained

We have the flawed report for December.

Prof G Markets
Trump’s 25% Iran Tariffs Explained

How long is this going to go on for, do you think?

Prof G Markets
Trump’s 25% Iran Tariffs Explained

How long are we going to be dealing with these CPI reports that we get from the BLS and which make these headlines, but then we have to add this asterisk and say it's not quite right?