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Ed Elson

👤 Speaker
11670 total appearances
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Podcast Appearances

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

That is insane.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

And so what they're saying to the market is, okay, you want some of that upside of incredible infrastructure investment on this brave new world of AI, which has a TAM the size of

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

you know, not Everest, but of constellations, okay, you can get some of that upside with us.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

And there's a whole lot of less downside.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

If AI doesn't work for Alphabet or it doesn't live up to the expectations, it's still an amazing business.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

And so what they're doing is they're cutting the line and saying, okay, if there's this cheap, i.e.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

stupid capital out there that is so dying to get into this business,

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

that they'll pay this type of valuation, fine, here you go.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

We're cutting the line and we're gonna take $85 billion off of the table because the cruelty of the capitalism is that every resource is finite.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

And the amount of new capital willing to go into AI infrastructure bets is finite.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

And they're about to take $85 billion off the table.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

So I wouldn't be surprised if we see Amazon all of a sudden announce a new equity offering.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

I think this is genius, cutting the line and taking $85 billion of cheap capital off the table and saying, hey, folks, look over here.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

We're –

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

We're hot, we're in the hot space, and there's less downside with us.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

I think it's brilliant because AI has become the railroad boom of the 21st century.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

And that is everyone agrees it's transformative, but it's more difficult.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

The harder question is whether or not the people laying the tracks will earn a return on that capital.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

And every time we've had this kind of CapEx in the past, whether it's the highways or

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

the global telco build out in the late 90s or railroads twice, the electric grid, there's usually a bit of a crash following it as people realize the ROI is just not there.