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Ed Elson

👤 Speaker
12484 total appearances
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Podcast Appearances

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

And I understand that at these valuations, you may want to stay away from it.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

I agree with that.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

The

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

What typically an investment bank does, one of the reasons to go public is it's a branding event, and you only get to go public once.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

And you want to manufacture scarcity and hype such that you get a pop.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

And I've even said, advise companies that are going public, price well below the demand, because if you're up 40, 60, 80, circle went public at 200% pop,

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

the additional five or 7% dilution, which isn't the case here because they're raising so much money, but the additional five or 7% dilution from, or two or 3% from leaving money on the table, because technically you're raising money.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

You could raise a lot more money at a lower dilution, but the branding you get when you're seen as, wow, this IPO,

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

even if you can raise money to cheaper costs, to be able to have CNBC analysts fawning over the fact that your first trade was 30% up, that's almost worth the dilution because it creates a certain momentum and halo, wow, this must be a great company.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

No, the bankers manufactured the pop.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

Sometimes they misestimate it and the pop is more, but the last thing you want is a broken IPO, because that'll be the story.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

If SpaceX were to price at 1.8 and go out on the first trade at 1.5,

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

That would be an extraordinary victory for everyone, including SpaceX.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

Obviously not the first trade, the people who bought into the IPO or got allocation, but every story would be SpaceX broken IPO.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

Not SpaceX raises money at 80 times,

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

revenues, but SpaceX, a broken IPO.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

So the banks are smart at estimating demand.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

They'll look at the number of times oversubscribed it is, and they'll say price lower, price lower, whatever it is, and such that we can manufacture a pop.

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

So if you're fortunate enough

Prof G Markets
AI’s $400 Billion Test Is About To Begin

and 99.9% of people aren't, to get into our allocation in the IPO, then fine.