Ed
๐ค SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
I have no idea.
And while I'm waiting around for it to happen, I'm giving up returns.
So if it happens three years from now and I've been sitting on the sideline not earning stocks,
what have I achieved?
So, so like this, this is just probability.
The probability is we won't have a pop this year because most years we don't.
It's, it's that dumb, right?
Is that really your reasoning?
Most years we don't, you know, even at these levels of high valuation, these things can go on for quite a long time.
And I would add on top of that, the general setup is pretty benign right now.
The economy is strong.
We can talk about the somewhat wobbly labor market, which is a red flag, but in terms of growth and spending and activity by a lot of measures, things are good and perhaps even getting better.
We might have Fed cuts coming.
We definitely have massive fiscal stimulus coming.
It's an environment that is quite benign
which means there's less possible triggers for the deflation of the asset bubble that we're in right now.
Look, there's midterms coming, baby.
You can't believe that Scott Besson and Donald Trump are going to throw the kitchen sink at
at this economy.
And 2027, be damned, you know, they're going to do everything they can for 2026.