Menu
Sign In Search Podcasts Charts People & Topics Add Podcast API Blog Pricing

Ed

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
6849 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

The cement is rolling.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

The moment you're waiting for is some moment in 2026 when people look out to 2027 or 2028 and they can see the end of the runway out there.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

Right now, the road just goes on forever, right?

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

But the moment we're waiting for, because the market discounts forward.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

The market doesn't care what's happening today, right?

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

So at some point, the worry is that you see the end of the runway sometime in 2026.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

And I just feel like...

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

I don't know.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

My guess is no.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

It's not a high probability prediction, but I am reassured by the fact that the market is already exercising a little bit of discipline.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

Okay, so this is a question I would put to you that I was thinking about earlier today.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

So let's suppose, and I have no, I should emphasize at the outset, I have no grounds for thinking this is going to happen whatsoever.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

Let's suppose the wheels properly come off OpenAI this year, right?

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

Like they try to raise some money and they can't, or like the revenue stops growing and they have some horrible conference call.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

They try to sell the thing, you know, pick your scenario.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

Wheels come off badly at OpenAI.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

How big an event is that for the market at large?

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

Yeah, no, I don't know what to think about it.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

That's why I asked you is because I don't know what to think about that.

Prof G Markets
Is Imperialism Good for Your Portfolio?

I can imagine a scenario where the world's like, look, Google's still Google.