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E.J. Antoni

👤 Speaker
528 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Morning Wire
Trade Deals, Tariff Truce & Trillions in US Investments

It's only going to last for a few years. And then we just have to go through this whole rigmarole all over again to try to get that provision renewed once more. So I would love to see things like that, the most pro-growth parts of this tax bill become permanent. And as always, I would like to see even further reductions in terms of those marginal tax rates.

Morning Wire
Trade Deals, Tariff Truce & Trillions in US Investments

It's only going to last for a few years. And then we just have to go through this whole rigmarole all over again to try to get that provision renewed once more. So I would love to see things like that, the most pro-growth parts of this tax bill become permanent. And as always, I would like to see even further reductions in terms of those marginal tax rates.

Morning Wire
Trade Deals, Tariff Truce & Trillions in US Investments

I would not be surprised if on paper, and this is an important distinction here, if on paper you do see a recession and we can look at the first quarter GDP print as evidence for that. You saw the headline number drop about three tenths of a percentage point. Well, government spending, the reduction there in government purchases contributed a quarter percentage point decline.

Morning Wire
Trade Deals, Tariff Truce & Trillions in US Investments

I would not be surprised if on paper, and this is an important distinction here, if on paper you do see a recession and we can look at the first quarter GDP print as evidence for that. You saw the headline number drop about three tenths of a percentage point. Well, government spending, the reduction there in government purchases contributed a quarter percentage point decline.

Morning Wire
Trade Deals, Tariff Truce & Trillions in US Investments

In other words, it accounted for almost all of the decrease. Well, you continue down that trend of shrinking government purchases, reducing government spending, what's going to happen to headline GDP? It's going to continue to go down. But that's not a sign of impoverishment. That's a sign of wealth.

Morning Wire
Trade Deals, Tariff Truce & Trillions in US Investments

In other words, it accounted for almost all of the decrease. Well, you continue down that trend of shrinking government purchases, reducing government spending, what's going to happen to headline GDP? It's going to continue to go down. But that's not a sign of impoverishment. That's a sign of wealth.

Morning Wire
Trade Deals, Tariff Truce & Trillions in US Investments

It's exactly the opposite of what happened during the Biden administration, where we continue to get these apparently blockbuster official metrics, if you will. All the while, Americans' standard of living went down and their cost of living went up. I care much less about what these, again, quote unquote, official numbers look like.

Morning Wire
Trade Deals, Tariff Truce & Trillions in US Investments

It's exactly the opposite of what happened during the Biden administration, where we continue to get these apparently blockbuster official metrics, if you will. All the while, Americans' standard of living went down and their cost of living went up. I care much less about what these, again, quote unquote, official numbers look like.

Morning Wire
Trade Deals, Tariff Truce & Trillions in US Investments

I care much more about what the average American can actually buy with his or her weekly paycheck. And so far under the Trump administration, that figure has gone up, not down. And it's recovered about a quarter of the losses under Biden. That I expect to continue for the quarters ahead.

Morning Wire
Trade Deals, Tariff Truce & Trillions in US Investments

I care much more about what the average American can actually buy with his or her weekly paycheck. And so far under the Trump administration, that figure has gone up, not down. And it's recovered about a quarter of the losses under Biden. That I expect to continue for the quarters ahead.

Morning Wire
Will Trump’s Economic Gamble Work? | 4.27.25

Well, a couple of things. One is, I think, a resolution to a lot of that mixed messaging that you mentioned, right? I mean, it was frankly chaos to start where you had not only different members of the administration contradicting each other, but sometimes in the context of a single interview, you would have individuals contradicting themselves. A lot of that is getting resolved.

Morning Wire
Will Trump’s Economic Gamble Work? | 4.27.25

Well, a couple of things. One is, I think, a resolution to a lot of that mixed messaging that you mentioned, right? I mean, it was frankly chaos to start where you had not only different members of the administration contradicting each other, but sometimes in the context of a single interview, you would have individuals contradicting themselves. A lot of that is getting resolved.

Morning Wire
Will Trump’s Economic Gamble Work? | 4.27.25

Not all of it, but a lot of it. So that's really good. It's a very welcome development to have Trump and Besant really taking the lead in terms of negotiations. So less so Greer, Navarro, Lutnik. In terms of the de-escalation, I think what we're looking for there is essentially agreements one by one just getting hammered out and eventually signed.

Morning Wire
Will Trump’s Economic Gamble Work? | 4.27.25

Not all of it, but a lot of it. So that's really good. It's a very welcome development to have Trump and Besant really taking the lead in terms of negotiations. So less so Greer, Navarro, Lutnik. In terms of the de-escalation, I think what we're looking for there is essentially agreements one by one just getting hammered out and eventually signed.

Morning Wire
Will Trump’s Economic Gamble Work? | 4.27.25

It looks like trade deals reducing tariff and non-tariff barriers, which is very, very important, that we include the non-tariff part of this as well. Oftentimes it's worse than the tariffs themselves. And so as those deals get done, as the details get ironed out, we can look for more free trade, not less. We can look for fairer trade. In other words...

Morning Wire
Will Trump’s Economic Gamble Work? | 4.27.25

It looks like trade deals reducing tariff and non-tariff barriers, which is very, very important, that we include the non-tariff part of this as well. Oftentimes it's worse than the tariffs themselves. And so as those deals get done, as the details get ironed out, we can look for more free trade, not less. We can look for fairer trade. In other words...

Morning Wire
Will Trump’s Economic Gamble Work? | 4.27.25

Not only are American consumer markets still open to foreign producers, but finally, foreign consumer markets will be open to our domestic producers.

Morning Wire
Will Trump’s Economic Gamble Work? | 4.27.25

Not only are American consumer markets still open to foreign producers, but finally, foreign consumer markets will be open to our domestic producers.

Morning Wire
Will Trump’s Economic Gamble Work? | 4.27.25

Again, we're seeing this movement to where other countries are willing to start knocking down some of their tariff rates and also their non-tariff barriers. That includes things like quotas, but also includes tariffs. Some more abstract things that you might not think they would affect international trade like currency manipulation.

Morning Wire
Will Trump’s Economic Gamble Work? | 4.27.25

Again, we're seeing this movement to where other countries are willing to start knocking down some of their tariff rates and also their non-tariff barriers. That includes things like quotas, but also includes tariffs. Some more abstract things that you might not think they would affect international trade like currency manipulation.