Eliezer Yudkowsky

What do you believe?

What do you actually believe?

What are the probabilities, even?

And it's replacement by nothing interesting or worthwhile, even from a very cosmopolitan perspective on what counts as worthwhile.

Yes.

I mean, in the form we're facing it.

So usually in science, if you're mistaken, you run the experiment, it shows results different from what you expected.

And you're like, oops.

And then you like try a different theory.

That one also doesn't work.

And you say, oops.

And at the end of this process, which may take decades or, and you know, sometimes faster than that, you now have some idea of what you're doing.

AI itself went through this long process of people thought it was going to be easier than it was.

There's a famous statement that I am somewhat inclined to pull out my phone and try to read off exactly.

You can, by the way.

All right.

Ah, yes.

We propose that a two-month, ten-man study of artificial intelligence be carried out during the summer of 1956 at Dartmouth College in Hanover, New Hampshire.

Thank you very much.

And there's similarly the story, which I'm not sure at the moment is apocryphal or not, of the grad student who got assigned to solve computer vision over the summer.