Eliezer Yudkowsky

Or, okay, I see it.

How do I turn it off?

How do I let it not influence me?

Like, do I just, like, do the opposite of what I'm afraid people will criticize me for?

And I'm like, no, no, you're not trying to do the opposite of what people will – of what you're afraid you'll be – like, of what you might be pushed into.

You're trying to, like –

let the thought process complete without that internal push.

Not reverse the push, but be unmoved by the push.

Are these instructions even remotely helping anyone?

I would say find prediction markets that matter to you and embed in the prediction markets.

That way you find out if you are right or not.

And you really, there's stakes.

Manifold, or even manifold markets where the stakes are a bit lower.

But the important thing is to like...

get the record.

And, you know, I didn't build up skills here by prediction markets.

I built them up via like, well, how did the FOOM debate resolve?

And my own take on it as to how it resolved.

And yeah, like the more you are able to notice yourself not being dramatically wrong, but like having been a little off

your reasoning was a little off.