Eliezer Yudkowsky

And I feel like I'm saying like, I don't know, like somebody's like, how do you draw an owl?

And I'm saying like, well, just draw an owl.

So I feel like maybe I'm not really, that I feel like most people, like the advice they need is like, well, how do I notice the internal subjective sensation in the moment that it happens of fearing to be socially influenced?

Or, okay, I see it.

How do I turn it off?

How do I let it not influence me?

Like, do I just, like, do the opposite of what I'm afraid people will criticize me for?

And I'm like, no, no, you're not trying to do the opposite of what people will – of what you're afraid you'll be – like, of what you might be pushed into.

You're trying to, like –

let the thought process complete without that internal push.

Not reverse the push, but be unmoved by the push.

Are these instructions even remotely helping anyone?

I would say find prediction markets that matter to you and embed in the prediction markets.

That way you find out if you are right or not.

And you really, there's stakes.

Manifold, or even manifold markets where the stakes are a bit lower.

But the important thing is to like...

get the record.

And, you know, I didn't build up skills here by prediction markets.

I built them up via like, well, how did the FOOM debate resolve?