Elijah Cone
๐ค PersonAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
And to round out the category here, we have another piece from The Hill that was written after the election, but it's about the 2028 primaries. It's titled America Needs Another Reagan. Nikki Haley is already following his path to power. The piece, as you might imagine, is about how Nikki Haley is poised to win the 2028 Republican nomination. Here's an excerpt.
And to round out the category here, we have another piece from The Hill that was written after the election, but it's about the 2028 primaries. It's titled America Needs Another Reagan. Nikki Haley is already following his path to power. The piece, as you might imagine, is about how Nikki Haley is poised to win the 2028 Republican nomination. Here's an excerpt.
So who wins the category?
So who wins the category?
Oh, you guys didn't get the memo that we're doing all hill takes for the pundies this year? Justice for roll call. Yeah, that's what I'm saying. All right, let's get to the good stuff. Appetizers eaten. Here come the main course. The worst polling take of the year.
Oh, you guys didn't get the memo that we're doing all hill takes for the pundies this year? Justice for roll call. Yeah, that's what I'm saying. All right, let's get to the good stuff. Appetizers eaten. Here come the main course. The worst polling take of the year.
This was a terrible year for polling, or was it? Cross tabs are in the eye of the beholder. Let's take a look at the worst polling takes of the year. First up, we have Nate Silver. Nate's modeling was actually pretty accurate this cycle, but in October, he got in a Twitter fight where he made a big bet with a super rich investor named Keith Rabois.
This was a terrible year for polling, or was it? Cross tabs are in the eye of the beholder. Let's take a look at the worst polling takes of the year. First up, we have Nate Silver. Nate's modeling was actually pretty accurate this cycle, but in October, he got in a Twitter fight where he made a big bet with a super rich investor named Keith Rabois.
Here's the exchange, which will be done in a dramatic reading by our producers, Saul and Farah.
Here's the exchange, which will be done in a dramatic reading by our producers, Saul and Farah.
Donald Trump won Florida by 13 points. Okay.
Donald Trump won Florida by 13 points. Okay.
All right. Our next take is for a really nerdy topic for the polling sickos. Here's serial polling poster Adam Carlson talking about race depolarization, the theory that Trump wouldn't win a larger share of the black vote.
All right. Our next take is for a really nerdy topic for the polling sickos. Here's serial polling poster Adam Carlson talking about race depolarization, the theory that Trump wouldn't win a larger share of the black vote.
And I think admitted he was wrong in the end. Yes, to his credit, he did tweet out verbatim, I was wrong about race depolarization.
And I think admitted he was wrong in the end. Yes, to his credit, he did tweet out verbatim, I was wrong about race depolarization.
Yeah, we just suck. Yeah. Anywho, what else you got? You knew this was coming.
Yeah, we just suck. Yeah. Anywho, what else you got? You knew this was coming.
A couple of days before the election, Ann Seltzer dropped her famous Iowa poll. It had Kamala Harris leading Trump by three in Iowa. In reality, Harris lost in Iowa to Trump by over 13 points. Trump is now suing Ann Seltzer because of this. Here's a clip from friend of the pod, Sarah Longwell, reacting to the poll when it came out.
A couple of days before the election, Ann Seltzer dropped her famous Iowa poll. It had Kamala Harris leading Trump by three in Iowa. In reality, Harris lost in Iowa to Trump by over 13 points. Trump is now suing Ann Seltzer because of this. Here's a clip from friend of the pod, Sarah Longwell, reacting to the poll when it came out.