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Eliza Owen

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
58 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Aussie Real Estate Podcast
Rate Rise | Clearance Rates

Over the June quarter, we saw the clearance rate come down to about 61% across the combined capital cities, and that's down from 76% in the June quarter of the previous year.

Aussie Real Estate Podcast
Rate Rise | Clearance Rates

And even over the past few weeks through July, we've observed that combined capital city clearance rate fall even further still.

Aussie Real Estate Podcast
Rate Rise | Clearance Rates

It's now sitting in that 50% range.

Aussie Real Estate Podcast
Rate Rise | Clearance Rates

If you look at cities like Sydney and Melbourne,

Aussie Real Estate Podcast
Rate Rise | Clearance Rates

Those are starting to show weaker clearance rates still with Sydney averaging about 53% over the past few weeks.

Aussie Real Estate Podcast
Rate Rise | Clearance Rates

And I think that's the good thing about auction data, right?

Aussie Real Estate Podcast
Rate Rise | Clearance Rates

Is it is that high frequency pulse that we have on the property market.

Aussie Real Estate Podcast
Rate Rise | Clearance Rates

So, week by week, that actually comes out as quite highly correlated with movements in property prices.

Aussie Real Estate Podcast
Rate Rise | Clearance Rates

And indeed, these auction figures corroborate that story of higher levels of supply, buyers falling away, and vendors having to come down on their price expectations.

Aussie Real Estate Podcast
Rate Rise | Clearance Rates

Yeah, I mean, I guess this reinforces what we're seeing across the CoreLogic Home Value Index, which measures property values across the market.

Aussie Real Estate Podcast
Rate Rise | Clearance Rates

It reinforces what we're seeing in the time it's taking properties to sell by private treaty and vendor discounting rates.

Aussie Real Estate Podcast
Rate Rise | Clearance Rates

It all points to a steeper decline in property markets across Sydney and Melbourne, particularly the sort of central and high-end markets of these cities.

Aussie Real Estate Podcast
Rate Rise | Clearance Rates

And they tend to lead the property cycle.

Aussie Real Estate Podcast
Rate Rise | Clearance Rates

They will be the first to see declines during a downswing.

Aussie Real Estate Podcast
Rate Rise | Clearance Rates

And often they see more volatile movements during a downswing as well.

Aussie Real Estate Podcast
Rate Rise | Clearance Rates

So Sydney and Melbourne tend to have higher highs, lower lows.

Aussie Real Estate Podcast
Rate Rise | Clearance Rates

They also are a bit of a bellwether for the other capital cities.

Aussie Real Estate Podcast
Rate Rise | Clearance Rates

If you look at what's happening in the daily CoreLogic Home Value Index, we measure the rolling monthly change on that daily metric.

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