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Elroy Dimson

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
564 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 408: Elroy Dimson โ€“ Investing & Optimism

You have these checkerboard charts, which are popular in the hedge fund world, but we also look at them year by year, seeing for each year what the best middling and lowest performance was.

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 408: Elroy Dimson โ€“ Investing & Optimism

for different factors, and we also do this decade by decade because we've got some data which goes back quite a long way, some of it a bit further back than the Fama and French material which Dimension Talks so kindly make available to researchers as a whole.

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 408: Elroy Dimson โ€“ Investing & Optimism

The small firm effect was the premier anomaly.

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 408: Elroy Dimson โ€“ Investing & Optimism

It ceased to be.

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 408: Elroy Dimson โ€“ Investing & Optimism

Value became a premier anomaly in stock market performance.

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 408: Elroy Dimson โ€“ Investing & Optimism

But that's kind of gone away.

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 408: Elroy Dimson โ€“ Investing & Optimism

Jumping around the last handful of years, value sort of got left behind quite a lot.

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 408: Elroy Dimson โ€“ Investing & Optimism

The one that was most striking is momentum.

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 408: Elroy Dimson โ€“ Investing & Optimism

What's striking about momentum is there's a big contrast between momentum investing and size and value investing.

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 408: Elroy Dimson โ€“ Investing & Optimism

Besides investing, you buy small caps and you hope that they will outperform.

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 408: Elroy Dimson โ€“ Investing & Optimism

And at the end of the year, you can reformulate your strategy.

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 408: Elroy Dimson โ€“ Investing & Optimism

And if you are really lucky, your strategy will have been messed up because some of those small companies won't be small any longer.

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 408: Elroy Dimson โ€“ Investing & Optimism

But basically, you're fairly doomed.

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 408: Elroy Dimson โ€“ Investing & Optimism

You buy small companies and they'll stay fairly small.

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 408: Elroy Dimson โ€“ Investing & Optimism

Buy value companies and they'll stay fairly value-ish.

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 408: Elroy Dimson โ€“ Investing & Optimism

But you can't do that from momentum because from momentum, you're buying stocks which have trended up, avoiding or shorting stocks which have trended down.

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 408: Elroy Dimson โ€“ Investing & Optimism

There's actually no reason why one which has trended up over time should keep doing that so the galaxy would explode.

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 408: Elroy Dimson โ€“ Investing & Optimism

I mean, that can't happen.

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 408: Elroy Dimson โ€“ Investing & Optimism

It's a high-cost strategy.

The Rational Reminder Podcast
Episode 408: Elroy Dimson โ€“ Investing & Optimism

Size and value matter.