Emad Mostaque
π€ SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
People worried about this with the previous kind of era.
This is something just beyond that, I think, because it's convincing.
Yeah, I think it's a bunch of S-curves all at once.
So there's three of them, Yann LeCun, Geoffrey Hinton, and Yoshua Bengio.
And Geoffrey Hinton quit Google to say this is a massive risk.
You have Yann LeCun's like, this is a massive opportunity in terms of it'll transform the world.
He loves the research and things.
So they've got one versus two.
But the reality is every expert in this area is basically saying none of us can predict what's going to happen.
If you ask me about the capabilities of this technology in one year, I've got a rough idea.
Two years, I have no idea.
All bets are off.
Like, as a practical example, when can we have generated Hollywood-quality movies?
It's not even a question of if now, it's a question of when.
I have, if it happened a year from now, I'd be like, okay, sure.
I would not even be surprised anymore.
I think it'll be a few years from now.
And even though we have one of the best media teams in the world that are building video models, I have no idea.
Because there's two parts to this.
One is the models themselves.