Eric Levitz

What happened in 2024 completely upends that sense of demographic destiny. Voters under 30 were narrowly pro-Trump, even after going for Biden by huge margins in 2020. Every demographic group under the age of 25 is more Republican than the millennial generation was.

What happened in 2024 completely upends that sense of demographic destiny. Voters under 30 were narrowly pro-Trump, even after going for Biden by huge margins in 2020. Every demographic group under the age of 25 is more Republican than the millennial generation was.

What happened in 2024 completely upends that sense of demographic destiny. Voters under 30 were narrowly pro-Trump, even after going for Biden by huge margins in 2020. Every demographic group under the age of 25 is more Republican than the millennial generation was.

Yeah, so I think that the data we have is better at telling us what happened than why, but we do have some informed guesses. I think that one factor here is that it's part of this broader phenomenon of politically disengaged voters moving to the right, that younger people are often a bit less tuned into the news.

Yeah, so I think that the data we have is better at telling us what happened than why, but we do have some informed guesses. I think that one factor here is that it's part of this broader phenomenon of politically disengaged voters moving to the right, that younger people are often a bit less tuned into the news.

Yeah, so I think that the data we have is better at telling us what happened than why, but we do have some informed guesses. I think that one factor here is that it's part of this broader phenomenon of politically disengaged voters moving to the right, that younger people are often a bit less tuned into the news.

They've got their own sort of coming of age and lives and romantic lives in college and whatever else occupying a lot of their attention. But there's also just the fact that politically disengaged voters tend to have weaker partisan identities, ideological identities. And it's also true of younger voters who also often have not fully formed their political identities.

They've got their own sort of coming of age and lives and romantic lives in college and whatever else occupying a lot of their attention. But there's also just the fact that politically disengaged voters tend to have weaker partisan identities, ideological identities. And it's also true of younger voters who also often have not fully formed their political identities.

They've got their own sort of coming of age and lives and romantic lives in college and whatever else occupying a lot of their attention. But there's also just the fact that politically disengaged voters tend to have weaker partisan identities, ideological identities. And it's also true of younger voters who also often have not fully formed their political identities.

Another factor that might explain this divergence between young voters today and the millennial generation are that the two just had different formative experiences. And so the millennial generation, a lot of us, came of age under the second term of the George W. Bush administration when you saw the Iraq War coming apart. Major combat operations in Iraq have ended.

Another factor that might explain this divergence between young voters today and the millennial generation are that the two just had different formative experiences. And so the millennial generation, a lot of us, came of age under the second term of the George W. Bush administration when you saw the Iraq War coming apart. Major combat operations in Iraq have ended.

Another factor that might explain this divergence between young voters today and the millennial generation are that the two just had different formative experiences. And so the millennial generation, a lot of us, came of age under the second term of the George W. Bush administration when you saw the Iraq War coming apart. Major combat operations in Iraq have ended.

Hurricane Katrina destroying New Orleans and the response really being pretty incompetent.

Hurricane Katrina destroying New Orleans and the response really being pretty incompetent.

Hurricane Katrina destroying New Orleans and the response really being pretty incompetent.

And then, of course, above all, the financial crisis and the Great Recession.

And then, of course, above all, the financial crisis and the Great Recession.

And then, of course, above all, the financial crisis and the Great Recession.

And this is followed by a two-term presidency from a really exceptionally charismatic figure, Barack Obama.

And this is followed by a two-term presidency from a really exceptionally charismatic figure, Barack Obama.