Eric Schmidt
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Appearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
Thank you very much.
Thank you.
Thank you, guys.
When you look at some of the biggest ideas that have created some of the biggest businesses and industry in the last two decades, it's cloud services. 15 years ago, 20 years ago, if you would have said, here's my idea, I'm going to go to every company in the world. And you know, your IT budget that you're buying these metal boxes and these software things that you buy. Yeah. Forget it.
When you look at some of the biggest ideas that have created some of the biggest businesses and industry in the last two decades, it's cloud services. 15 years ago, 20 years ago, if you would have said, here's my idea, I'm going to go to every company in the world. And you know, your IT budget that you're buying these metal boxes and these software things that you buy. Yeah. Forget it.
Just give it to one company or maybe two companies, throw away all your computers and they'll do everything in the cloud for you. People would have said, you're nuts. That's a crazy idea. It took a tiny little player, someone that was nothing in the business to business world, a company that was known for selling diapers online, which was called Amazon at the time.
Just give it to one company or maybe two companies, throw away all your computers and they'll do everything in the cloud for you. People would have said, you're nuts. That's a crazy idea. It took a tiny little player, someone that was nothing in the business to business world, a company that was known for selling diapers online, which was called Amazon at the time.
It was basically a mail order catalog that was splashed onto the internet. And they said, what if we try this crazy thing? Everybody wrote the idea off as crazy.
It was basically a mail order catalog that was splashed onto the internet. And they said, what if we try this crazy thing? Everybody wrote the idea off as crazy.
Let's start with where we are right now. Folks are very familiar now with ChatGPT and its competitors, which includes Quad and my favorite, of course, Gemini from Google and a number of others. And people are amazed that this stuff can write better than certainly I can. They can do songs, they can even write code. So what happens next?
Let's start with where we are right now. Folks are very familiar now with ChatGPT and its competitors, which includes Quad and my favorite, of course, Gemini from Google and a number of others. And people are amazed that this stuff can write better than certainly I can. They can do songs, they can even write code. So what happens next?
The next big change is in the development of what are called agents. And an agent is something which is in a little loop that learns something. So you build an agent that can do the equivalent of a travel agent. Well, it learns how to do travel agents. The key thing about agents is that you can concatenate them. You give it an English command and it gives you an English result.
The next big change is in the development of what are called agents. And an agent is something which is in a little loop that learns something. So you build an agent that can do the equivalent of a travel agent. Well, it learns how to do travel agents. The key thing about agents is that you can concatenate them. You give it an English command and it gives you an English result.
And so then you can take that result and put it into the next agent. And with that, you can design a building, design a ship, design a bomb, whatever.
And so then you can take that result and put it into the next agent. And with that, you can design a building, design a ship, design a bomb, whatever.
So are we the dogs to their humanity? Will ultimately AI be our overlords? I certainly hope not. The theoretical argument is that computers are running the world and we're the dogs. That's unlikely. A much more likely scenario, which I do worry about, is that the concentration of power that a dictator type person, sort of an autocrat type person, can accumulate under the guise of efficiency
So are we the dogs to their humanity? Will ultimately AI be our overlords? I certainly hope not. The theoretical argument is that computers are running the world and we're the dogs. That's unlikely. A much more likely scenario, which I do worry about, is that the concentration of power that a dictator type person, sort of an autocrat type person, can accumulate under the guise of efficiency
can also restrict liberty. At the key point is what we call technically recursive self-improvement when it can begin to improve itself. We better have a really good way of watching what this thing is doing. And if you think about it for a while, the only way to watch what it's doing is to have another AI system watching it because people won't be able to follow it fast enough.
can also restrict liberty. At the key point is what we call technically recursive self-improvement when it can begin to improve itself. We better have a really good way of watching what this thing is doing. And if you think about it for a while, the only way to watch what it's doing is to have another AI system watching it because people won't be able to follow it fast enough.
Well, wouldn't that be great to know, Maria? But they destroyed all the documents on their way out. So, again, this whole thing was propped up I JUST THINK YOU HAVE TO LOOK AT THE ARC OF THE STORY HERE. THE JANUARY 6TH COMMITTEE WAS SET UP FOR THE VERY SPECIFIC PURPOSE OF GIVING SOMEBODY LIKE JACK SMITH THE REASON TO GO CHARGE PRESIDENT TRUMP AND TAKE HIM OUT POLITICALLY. THAT'S THE WHOLE THING.