Eric Schmidt
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I think it's more like eight to 10, but nobody really knows. And you can see this with the most recent announcement from OpenAI of something called 0.1, where it can begin to show you the work that it does as it solves math problems.
I think it's more like eight to 10, but nobody really knows. And you can see this with the most recent announcement from OpenAI of something called 0.1, where it can begin to show you the work that it does as it solves math problems.
And the latest models are good enough to pass the graduate level exams in physics and chemistry and computer science and material science and art and political science. At some point, these things in the next, say, five years are going to be super brilliant, but they're still going to be under our control.
And the latest models are good enough to pass the graduate level exams in physics and chemistry and computer science and material science and art and political science. At some point, these things in the next, say, five years are going to be super brilliant, but they're still going to be under our control.
At the key point is what we call technically recursive self-improvement, when it can begin to improve itself. And at that point, I think we're in a different ballgame. And it goes something like this. I say to the computer, learn everything, start now, don't do any serious damage. That's the command. Okay. And the system is programmed to be curious, but also to aggregate power and influence.
At the key point is what we call technically recursive self-improvement, when it can begin to improve itself. And at that point, I think we're in a different ballgame. And it goes something like this. I say to the computer, learn everything, start now, don't do any serious damage. That's the command. Okay. And the system is programmed to be curious, but also to aggregate power and influence.
What would it do? We don't know. So that strikes me as a point where we better have a really good way of watching what this thing is doing. And if you think about it for a while, the only way to watch what it's doing is to have another AI system watching it because people won't be able to follow it fast enough.
What would it do? We don't know. So that strikes me as a point where we better have a really good way of watching what this thing is doing. And if you think about it for a while, the only way to watch what it's doing is to have another AI system watching it because people won't be able to follow it fast enough.
Well, the most important thing right now is don't put them anywhere near human life or mission-critical infrastructure. Don't use it to do hard operations. Don't use it to fly an airplane, those sorts of things. The systems today can best be understood as fantastic advisors. In my case, I had a complicated question. I used one of the LLMs and it sorted it out.
Well, the most important thing right now is don't put them anywhere near human life or mission-critical infrastructure. Don't use it to do hard operations. Don't use it to fly an airplane, those sorts of things. The systems today can best be understood as fantastic advisors. In my case, I had a complicated question. I used one of the LLMs and it sorted it out.
My complicated question had to do with what was the best and cheapest of the speakers I wanted to buy that had the highest of a particular tonal range. Something which I could do with Google by looking at all the documents, I had AI answer that question. And by the way, gave me the right answer and saved me. I could have done it, but I let the system do it for me. That's the next step.
My complicated question had to do with what was the best and cheapest of the speakers I wanted to buy that had the highest of a particular tonal range. Something which I could do with Google by looking at all the documents, I had AI answer that question. And by the way, gave me the right answer and saved me. I could have done it, but I let the system do it for me. That's the next step.
So the question is, at what point does the thing become to actually run my life? Like in the morning, I say, organize my life. Look at my schedule. I have to fit Joe, Bob and Harry in. Do you figure it out? And by the way, Harry, I don't like. And Joe, you should just sort of be mean to him. And I love, you know, whatever the way people actually work, the way they organize their lives.
So the question is, at what point does the thing become to actually run my life? Like in the morning, I say, organize my life. Look at my schedule. I have to fit Joe, Bob and Harry in. Do you figure it out? And by the way, Harry, I don't like. And Joe, you should just sort of be mean to him. And I love, you know, whatever the way people actually work, the way they organize their lives.
And we don't have that yet. But I think the agentic revolution, as it's called, is for sure going to happen. Governments are watching this so far. They're not doing anything too foolish, except that the Europeans who love to regulate are regulating it more than they should. And President Trump has indicated that he's going to scrap the minimal regulation that was in place under Biden.
And we don't have that yet. But I think the agentic revolution, as it's called, is for sure going to happen. Governments are watching this so far. They're not doing anything too foolish, except that the Europeans who love to regulate are regulating it more than they should. And President Trump has indicated that he's going to scrap the minimal regulation that was in place under Biden.
So I think it's going to be pretty open for a while. If you look at China, China, which obviously has an interest in not allowing, given their monopoly on power, they don't want threats. So China will undoubtedly have a rule that means you can do anything you want to as long as you don't threaten the state. which is sort of how their speech works.
So I think it's going to be pretty open for a while. If you look at China, China, which obviously has an interest in not allowing, given their monopoly on power, they don't want threats. So China will undoubtedly have a rule that means you can do anything you want to as long as you don't threaten the state. which is sort of how their speech works.
So I think everyone will adapt, but the race is on. One of the things that I want to say to you and your listeners is this race is very intense and it's happening very fast in the next few years. So get ready. I'm not sure that societies... If I can just be blunt, I just don't think our political system and societies are ready.
So I think everyone will adapt, but the race is on. One of the things that I want to say to you and your listeners is this race is very intense and it's happening very fast in the next few years. So get ready. I'm not sure that societies... If I can just be blunt, I just don't think our political system and societies are ready.