Eric Schmidt
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Take the equivalent of smallpox and make it even deadlier. And so far, we had a long conversation in the industry about this a few weeks ago. The consensus was that the models that cost less than $100 million don't have this capability. But the ones that are going to cost more than $100 million might have this capability in the future. This is what everybody said. So that's today's idea.
Take the equivalent of smallpox and make it even deadlier. And so far, we had a long conversation in the industry about this a few weeks ago. The consensus was that the models that cost less than $100 million don't have this capability. But the ones that are going to cost more than $100 million might have this capability in the future. This is what everybody said. So that's today's idea.
So if the cost of models drops down, we're in trouble. If the cost of models goes up, then we're good. So you see how the answer is dynamic based on what happens to the technology.
So if the cost of models drops down, we're in trouble. If the cost of models goes up, then we're good. So you see how the answer is dynamic based on what happens to the technology.
In my industry, there are open source people, of which I'm one, who basically believe that the proliferation is net positive because it allows for creativity, it allows for expansion of human knowledge, it empowers everybody. This is a great position.
In my industry, there are open source people, of which I'm one, who basically believe that the proliferation is net positive because it allows for creativity, it allows for expansion of human knowledge, it empowers everybody. This is a great position.
There are plenty of people who disagree, arguing that the tool is so powerful that if you put it in even one evil person's hands, by the time you discover the evil, harm has occurred. That debate is an age-old debate in my industry, and it's not obvious to me how it will play out. I'm an optimist, but I worry about this one.
There are plenty of people who disagree, arguing that the tool is so powerful that if you put it in even one evil person's hands, by the time you discover the evil, harm has occurred. That debate is an age-old debate in my industry, and it's not obvious to me how it will play out. I'm an optimist, but I worry about this one.
Well, a simple answer to any business is if you're not using AI in your business, your competitor is and you're going to get screwed. Excuse my language. It's a serious problem because it's happening very quickly. For most businesses, AI begins by customer service. So, for example, chatbots to replace India call centers, things like that. Very mild improvements in efficiency.
Well, a simple answer to any business is if you're not using AI in your business, your competitor is and you're going to get screwed. Excuse my language. It's a serious problem because it's happening very quickly. For most businesses, AI begins by customer service. So, for example, chatbots to replace India call centers, things like that. Very mild improvements in efficiency.
You see targeted marketing now. The real change is going to be in generative AI. Generative AI, think of it as making pictures. So why do I have to spend a million dollars for a photo shoot for the product?
You see targeted marketing now. The real change is going to be in generative AI. Generative AI, think of it as making pictures. So why do I have to spend a million dollars for a photo shoot for the product?
Why don't I just have the system generate that video and not just generate one, but generate a million versions of it that are targeted to a million different kinds of customers, some of the humans can't do. So I think if you think about business efficiency, AI is the first one, that's the tactics. And then it's basically customer adoption. And then eventually it's business planning.
Why don't I just have the system generate that video and not just generate one, but generate a million versions of it that are targeted to a million different kinds of customers, some of the humans can't do. So I think if you think about business efficiency, AI is the first one, that's the tactics. And then it's basically customer adoption. And then eventually it's business planning.
Over time, there's a lot of evidence that a lot of programming can be replaced by computer. Now I'm a computer scientist and a programmer by trade for almost 50, well, more than 55 years at this point. And I don't wish my trade to go away, but I do acknowledge that the computer can probably write code equal to or better than a lot of programmers. There are plenty of examples of that today.
Over time, there's a lot of evidence that a lot of programming can be replaced by computer. Now I'm a computer scientist and a programmer by trade for almost 50, well, more than 55 years at this point. And I don't wish my trade to go away, but I do acknowledge that the computer can probably write code equal to or better than a lot of programmers. There are plenty of examples of that today.
And there are plenty of startups that are working on automating most software development. I was talking to one scientist, and one of the questions I like to ask scientists is, what system and programming language do you use? And he said, it doesn't matter. And I said, it matters to me. And he said, it matters to you, but it doesn't matter to anyone else. I said, why?
And there are plenty of startups that are working on automating most software development. I was talking to one scientist, and one of the questions I like to ask scientists is, what system and programming language do you use? And he said, it doesn't matter. And I said, it matters to me. And he said, it matters to you, but it doesn't matter to anyone else. I said, why?
And he said, because as long as I understand what I'm trying to do, I don't care how the computer gets me there. And because he's a scientist and because he knows exactly what he wants, he'll just keep generating code. He doesn't care what the language is as long as it gets him to his outcome, which in this case was a very complicated science question.
And he said, because as long as I understand what I'm trying to do, I don't care how the computer gets me there. And because he's a scientist and because he knows exactly what he wants, he'll just keep generating code. He doesn't care what the language is as long as it gets him to his outcome, which in this case was a very complicated science question.