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Eric Topol

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
See mentions of this person in podcasts
3037 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

And the request is, well, we want two trials, randomized trials, independent.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

We want to have p-values that are significant.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

And we want to know the biological mechanism, ideally with a dose response of the drug.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

But there are many drugs, as you review, that have no biological mechanism established.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

And even when the tobacco problems were mounting, the actual mechanism of how tobacco use caused cancer wasn't known.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

So how important is the biological mechanism, especially now that we're well into the AI world where explainability is demanded?

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

And so we don't know the mechanism, but we also don't know the mechanism in lots of things in medicine too, like anesthetics and even things as simple as aspirin, how it works and many others.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

So how do we deal with this quest for the biological mechanisms?

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

Yeah, no, I'm so glad you brought that up because when Demis Hassabis and John Jumper won the Nobel Prize, the point I made was maybe there should be an asterisk with AI because they don't know how it works.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

I mean, they had all the rich data from the protein data bank.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

And they got the transformer model to do it for 200 million protein structure prediction.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

But they still, to this day, don't fully understand how the model really was working.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

So it reinforces what you're just saying.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

And of course, it cuts across so many types of AI.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

It's just that we tend to hold different standards in medicine, not realizing that there's lots of lack of explainability for routine medical treatments today.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

Now,

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

One of the things that I found fascinating in your book, because there's different levels of proof, different types of proof, but solid logical systems.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

And on page 60 of the book, especially pertinent to the US right now, there is a bit about Kurt Godel.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

And what he did there was he basically, there was a question about,

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

a dictatorship in the U.S.