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Eyck Freymann

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
1121 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Odd Lots
How Taiwan Became the World's Most Perilous Geopolitical Chokepoint

The semiconductor industry, depending on how you define it with related services industries, it's something like 5% of employment in Taiwan, but it's an outsized share of Taiwan's exports.

Odd Lots
How Taiwan Became the World's Most Perilous Geopolitical Chokepoint

And right now, just as you look at the macro data, Taiwan's exports are booming because no one can get enough of their chips.

Odd Lots
How Taiwan Became the World's Most Perilous Geopolitical Chokepoint

There is an entire ecosystem of universities, vocational training centers, companies that supply to TSMC.

Odd Lots
How Taiwan Became the World's Most Perilous Geopolitical Chokepoint

This is a national champion in so many ways.

Odd Lots
How Taiwan Became the World's Most Perilous Geopolitical Chokepoint

And they get tax benefits and subsidized land.

Odd Lots
How Taiwan Became the World's Most Perilous Geopolitical Chokepoint

And Taiwan's political economy is organized around making them a success, just as Taiwan's

Odd Lots
How Taiwan Became the World's Most Perilous Geopolitical Chokepoint

South Korea has been organized around making Samsung and others a success.

Odd Lots
How Taiwan Became the World's Most Perilous Geopolitical Chokepoint

TSMC is smart enough to know that it has to deal with administrations of both parties.

Odd Lots
How Taiwan Became the World's Most Perilous Geopolitical Chokepoint

But TSMC is also caught in a US-China tension too.

Odd Lots
How Taiwan Became the World's Most Perilous Geopolitical Chokepoint

And TSMC doesn't share the United States political objectives here.

Odd Lots
How Taiwan Became the World's Most Perilous Geopolitical Chokepoint

TSMC is happy to sell to China.

Odd Lots
How Taiwan Became the World's Most Perilous Geopolitical Chokepoint

They don't have a problem if China buys lots of their chips.

Odd Lots
How Taiwan Became the World's Most Perilous Geopolitical Chokepoint

But they have to work with the United States because ultimately they're fabricating chips at the high end that are made with U.S.

Odd Lots
How Taiwan Became the World's Most Perilous Geopolitical Chokepoint

designs.

Odd Lots
How Taiwan Became the World's Most Perilous Geopolitical Chokepoint

So the U.S.

Odd Lots
How Taiwan Became the World's Most Perilous Geopolitical Chokepoint

does have the ability to export control where those final products go.

Odd Lots
How Taiwan Became the World's Most Perilous Geopolitical Chokepoint

Yes.

Odd Lots
How Taiwan Became the World's Most Perilous Geopolitical Chokepoint

Well, our longstanding policy is that it's the right of the people of Taiwan to decide their own future.

Odd Lots
How Taiwan Became the World's Most Perilous Geopolitical Chokepoint

And that's a principled position that we hold for a reason that is also self-interested.

Odd Lots
How Taiwan Became the World's Most Perilous Geopolitical Chokepoint

which is if Taiwan decides that they want to submit or they want to take a deal and they want to unify with the mainland, by the way, the mainland uses this term reunification.