Fionnán Sheahan

And Labour, look, have been quietly confident about Helen Ogbu down there.

I mean, she's been out front and centre, immediately Finloch.

I mean, it was only...

You know, you couldn't entirely write her off, but it was only last week Eamon O'Keefe, the kind of Fianna Fáil, you know, grandee was saying she's in with a shot.

Yeah.

Look entirely likely.

And as you say, I think Sean Cain, Noel Thomas battle is, it's not just that Noel Thomas represents the independence.

He is now, I think in many ways, seen as the anti-government candidate, right?

Because,

on the back of the fuel protests you know so you've Sean Cain going up against him who's this quite well known former TD leader in the Shannon Fine Gael stalwart really at this point just narrowly out on head and he's doing like if you look at the second preference he's on 15% like when you look at

Like we're two weeks out, but on like kind of my initial assessment would be, it's hard to see the shifting much beyond those three at this point.

And there's an interesting finding, if you look kind.

is hugely popular among voters aged 65 and older, garnering about 37% among that cohort.

No, you are, you are, you're right.

And the other just, you know, broader kind of takeaway from this, and look, this is where they're probably...

The relief for Fine Gael will come is that some people in the party felt a couple of weeks ago that Leo Varadkar with his comments on rural urban had kind of tanked their chances down there.

It doesn't seem to be playing out as much as you might think.

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