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Francisco Rodríguez

👤 Speaker
180 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Opinions
What Comes Next for Venezuela — and Who Decides?

But

The Opinions
What Comes Next for Venezuela — and Who Decides?

I don't see anything necessarily impeding that.

The Opinions
What Comes Next for Venezuela — and Who Decides?

I mean, you have authoritarian governments in many other places, including many oil-dependent economies.

The Opinions
What Comes Next for Venezuela — and Who Decides?

And there's a sense in which that oil wealth, which tends to make the state and the government very powerful, combined with these winner-take-all institutions, is the perfect recipe for autocracy.

The Opinions
What Comes Next for Venezuela — and Who Decides?

So I do think that you could get that scenario in which

The Opinions
What Comes Next for Venezuela — and Who Decides?

Darcy Rodriguez just becomes the country's new dictator.

The Opinions
What Comes Next for Venezuela — and Who Decides?

The positive scenario is one in which the U.S.

The Opinions
What Comes Next for Venezuela — and Who Decides?

uses its leverage towards building a democratic transition in Venezuela.

The Opinions
What Comes Next for Venezuela — and Who Decides?

I don't think that that democratic transition can be built overnight, or at least I think it's very dangerous to do so.

The Opinions
What Comes Next for Venezuela — and Who Decides?

And I think that the way to do it is to

The Opinions
What Comes Next for Venezuela — and Who Decides?

carry out institutional reforms, reforms, for example, in electoral institutions, independence of the judiciary, start setting up the institutions of a democracy that also become the institutions that constrain the executive from persecuting its opponents so that when we get to an election, it's an election in which the losers can decide

The Opinions
What Comes Next for Venezuela — and Who Decides?

okay, we're going to accept that we lost, and that doesn't mean that we're going to be persecuted and put in jail, and that it's the end of our political career and maybe of our lives.

The Opinions
What Comes Next for Venezuela — and Who Decides?

Once you get there, you can have a free and fair election.

The Opinions
What Comes Next for Venezuela — and Who Decides?

That, for me, is the best-case scenario, one of a democratic and prosperous Venezuela.

The Opinions
What Comes Next for Venezuela — and Who Decides?

Is it possible?

The Opinions
What Comes Next for Venezuela — and Who Decides?

Yes.

The Opinions
What Comes Next for Venezuela — and Who Decides?

Is it assured?

The Opinions
What Comes Next for Venezuela — and Who Decides?

No.

The Opinions
What Comes Next for Venezuela — and Who Decides?

Thank you very much.

The Opinions
What Comes Next for Venezuela — and Who Decides?

It was a pleasure.

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