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Francisco Rodríguez

👤 Speaker
180 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Opinions
What Comes Next for Venezuela — and Who Decides?

And sometimes when they're tried, they can end in crises where you find declines of GDP of 10, 15, 20, 25%, but not of 71%.

The Opinions
What Comes Next for Venezuela — and Who Decides?

So when I started looking and trying to study what was happening in Venezuela, what I found is that a lot of what had happened had to do with the collapse of the oil industry and the country's oil revenues.

The Opinions
What Comes Next for Venezuela — and Who Decides?

And it's because the oil industry had become the focus of a political struggle.

The Opinions
What Comes Next for Venezuela — and Who Decides?

So both sides of the political struggle, the government and the opposition,

The Opinions
What Comes Next for Venezuela — and Who Decides?

tried to gain control or stop the other side from gaining control over the country's revenues.

The Opinions
What Comes Next for Venezuela — and Who Decides?

And ultimately, from the opposition side, that took the form of lobbying the US government to impose economic sanctions.

The Opinions
What Comes Next for Venezuela — and Who Decides?

And these sanctions were incredibly damaging to the Venezuelan oil industry and to the Venezuelan economy.

The Opinions
What Comes Next for Venezuela — and Who Decides?

They don't explain all of the collapse.

The Opinions
What Comes Next for Venezuela — and Who Decides?

And what I describe in my work is a pattern where both Maduro and the opposition started weaponizing the economy

The Opinions
What Comes Next for Venezuela — and Who Decides?

because they thought that it worked to their political advantage.

The Opinions
What Comes Next for Venezuela — and Who Decides?

They thought that if they controlled oil revenues, then they would, in the case of Maduro, that would allow him to stay in power.

The Opinions
What Comes Next for Venezuela — and Who Decides?

In the case of the opposition, that would allow them to drive first Chavez and then Maduro from power.

The Opinions
What Comes Next for Venezuela — and Who Decides?

So ultimately, what we saw in Venezuela was political conflict getting out of bounds.

The Opinions
What Comes Next for Venezuela — and Who Decides?

Well, what Trump has said is that the US is going to be running the Venezuelan economy.

The Opinions
What Comes Next for Venezuela — and Who Decides?

And I think that

The Opinions
What Comes Next for Venezuela — and Who Decides?

The best way to understand what he means is through a meeting that he had with oil industry executives a few days ago, in which he tried to convince them to invest in Venezuela, to invest in recovering Venezuela's oil production.

The Opinions
What Comes Next for Venezuela — and Who Decides?

And he tried to convince them that there was a lot of money to be made in that.

The Opinions
What Comes Next for Venezuela — and Who Decides?

There was not one representative of the Venezuelan government or of the opposition for that matter in that meeting.

The Opinions
What Comes Next for Venezuela — and Who Decides?

And Mr. Trump actually pointed that out.

The Opinions
What Comes Next for Venezuela — and Who Decides?

He said, you don't have to deal with Venezuela, you have to deal with me.