Gary Marcus

Their intelligence is still limited, and we probably need a completely different approach.

You know, I like to have a metaphor of climbing mountains, right?

And you could get to the peak of one mountain and think, well, I must be close to the top, but actually you might not be, right?

If it's a mountain range and there's a whole bunch of different peaks, you might be at the peak of one.

In order to get to the tallest peak, you might have to actually go back down the valley, right?

And that's what we need to do.

We actually need to give up some of the progress that we've made in order to come up with new ideas.

But everybody's obsessed with one idea.

You know, they're obsessed with the large language model that actually has these problems of, and we didn't even get into, but bias and unreliability, etc.,

But people are so addicted to the one thing that they're all in on that.

And we'll get to the economics soon, I suppose.

But part of the economic problem hinges from that, that everybody is using the same solution.

If you had a healthy ecosystem, you might have 100 different companies trying 100 different approaches, and you could say, let the best one win.

But we have basically 100 companies, maybe not 100, but a dozen companies doing exactly the same thing.

And if it's not the right thing, that's a problem.

And even if it is a right thing, it's a problem.

You know, I'm pretty sure it's not.

But it's still a problem if everybody's doing the same thing.

That means making profits is really hard.

So, you know, we'll talk about the economics and why nobody is making profit.