Gary Sutton
π€ SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
Yeah.
I still don't think that that was material in any way.
No.
I think it's a cognitive illusion, like the hot hand and like the idea that games are won in the fourth quarter.
Those are also, in my opinion, cognitive illusions.
So
You tell me what you think, but I think basketball is basically a 50-50 game between offense and defense.
It might not be exactly 50-50, but it's close.
And I think the idea, well, the idea that defense wins championships actually goes back to, I think, Bear Bryant, the legendary football coach at Alabama.
He was the one who made that case.
And it transcended from football to basketball, maybe even other sports.
But I think where it comes from is when you look at postseason games versus regular season games, postseason games historically and typically are lower scoring games than what you see in the regular season.
So teams that win and lose are both β they're scoring more points and they're giving up fewer points.
So if you're a winning team in the postseason, you're advancing to the next round of the playoffs, you're looking at the scores and you're comparing those scores to β
what a typical score might have been of a regular season game.
And you're thinking, wow, we're scoring fewer points, but obviously we're giving up even fewer points, and we're winning.
So therefore, defense wins championships.
I think that's maybe where it comes from.
Or where people get the idea that defense wins championships.
But when you do the analysis, it really goes back to the point I made a moment ago.