Gary Sutton

Even if you were to flip a coin 10 times, a fair coin, same coin 10 times, we know that there's always a 50% chance it's gonna come up heads, 50% chance they'll come up tails.

That doesn't mean that with 10 flips you'll always get heads five times or tails five times.

Doesn't mean you'll get heads once, then tails, then heads.

You might even get heads, let's say, six times in a row.

So there are streaks.

Even with random independent processes, there are streaks.

That's how free throw shooting to me looks.

It looks more random and independent with periodic streaks that someone might mistake for a hot hand.

Right, right.

Those who support the hot hand idea seem to believe that there's a dependent relationship when shots are made, but not necessarily when shots are not.

Facts.

You know?

Right.

And he may regress to the mean and have –

a really good shooting night the next time out, right?

So I don't see it.

I see the data more looking like coin flips than something that's more purposeful, I guess.

So it looks more random to me than anything else.

I looked at – well, it's interesting that you mentioned when the Lakers last won because the final games in the postseason were played at a neutral site.

Right.