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Gavin Bade

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
See mentions of this person in podcasts
549 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Journal.
Trump's Tariffs Are Illegal. He's Got a Plan B.

They've preemptively gone and filed in federal court and said, if this decision comes down, I want to just lodge my claim for a refund now because I've been materially harmed by this.

The Journal.
Trump's Tariffs Are Illegal. He's Got a Plan B.

Exactly.

The Journal.
Trump's Tariffs Are Illegal. He's Got a Plan B.

Really, it could be a pretty big windfall for a lot of firms because if you think about it, they have adjusted their pricing to react to these tariffs.

The Journal.
Trump's Tariffs Are Illegal. He's Got a Plan B.

And now, oh, if we get all that tariff money back, they probably won't adjust their prices downward.

The Journal.
Trump's Tariffs Are Illegal. He's Got a Plan B.

That allows for tariffs up to 15% for up to 150 days

The Journal.
Trump's Tariffs Are Illegal. He's Got a Plan B.

And that law is to address persistent trade imbalances.

The Journal.
Trump's Tariffs Are Illegal. He's Got a Plan B.

So the type of trade deficit issues that Trump doesn't like, he could instantly put these tariffs in place under Section 122 up to 15%, up to 150 days.

The Journal.
Trump's Tariffs Are Illegal. He's Got a Plan B.

That is what is going to happen in the short term, is just to reconstitute some of these tariffs.

The Journal.
Trump's Tariffs Are Illegal. He's Got a Plan B.

Just put that in really quickly.

The Journal.
Trump's Tariffs Are Illegal. He's Got a Plan B.

And then in those 150 days, you use that time to issue new tariff investigations under more lasting legal authorities.

The Journal.
Trump's Tariffs Are Illegal. He's Got a Plan B.

Ideally, I think they would love to pass a law that gave them the IEP of tariff authority explicitly.

The Journal.
Trump's Tariffs Are Illegal. He's Got a Plan B.

I don't think you can see that pass Congress right now, though.

The Journal.
Trump's Tariffs Are Illegal. He's Got a Plan B.

Yeah, even if Republicans aren't willing to pop their head up and say that they don't like the tariffs, a lot of them do not.

The Journal.
Trump's Tariffs Are Illegal. He's Got a Plan B.

A lot of their constituents are being hurt by this.

The Journal.
Trump's Tariffs Are Illegal. He's Got a Plan B.

Remember, we saw both chambers of Congress have separately taken votes against at least some of Trump's tariffs, right?

The Journal.
Trump's Tariffs Are Illegal. He's Got a Plan B.

Just a couple weeks ago, the House voted a disapproval resolution on Trump's IEPA tariffs on Canada.

The Journal.
Trump's Tariffs Are Illegal. He's Got a Plan B.

And that was, you know, a Republican-controlled House.

The Journal.
Trump's Tariffs Are Illegal. He's Got a Plan B.

So there's not a lot of appetite in Congress to go and legislate these things, especially in election year.

The Journal.
Trump's Tariffs Are Illegal. He's Got a Plan B.

when, you know, your opponent's going to be able to hit you over the head for increasing prices to consumers if you voted for those tariffs.

The Journal.
Trump's Tariffs Are Illegal. He's Got a Plan B.

So, yeah, it's a theoretical option, but probably not a practical one.