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George Arison

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
482 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

SaaS Interviews with CEOs, Startups, Founders
1698 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?

And so I just think, I think that company values are going to come down.

SaaS Interviews with CEOs, Startups, Founders
1698 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?

That's going to create a lot of challenges for companies in fundraising.

SaaS Interviews with CEOs, Startups, Founders
1698 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?

So I think we're lucky that we're not in that type of a situation for us.

SaaS Interviews with CEOs, Startups, Founders
1698 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?

And, you know, I do think that we will benefit a little bit from the counter-cyclicality in terms of demand for used cars, as usually happens in a counter-cyclical environment.

SaaS Interviews with CEOs, Startups, Founders
1698 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?

That's actually another reason not to be doing capital planning right now is because when the economy is weaker, you don't want to be doing your own loans because you just don't know what's going to happen.

SaaS Interviews with CEOs, Startups, Founders
1698 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?

Look, it's going to be tough, but I've been through tough before.

SaaS Interviews with CEOs, Startups, Founders
1698 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?

Shift has not been an easy ride.

SaaS Interviews with CEOs, Startups, Founders
1698 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?

It's been pretty complex.

SaaS Interviews with CEOs, Startups, Founders
1698 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?

And we are planning for it and we'll be in good shape.

SaaS Interviews with CEOs, Startups, Founders
1698 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?

Toby likes to joke that, hey, we go through a recession every year because the Q4 in this industry is very, very slow.

SaaS Interviews with CEOs, Startups, Founders
1698 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?

Unlike every other retail business, which is like Q4 is like really active for us, Q4 is very slow.

SaaS Interviews with CEOs, Startups, Founders
1698 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?

And so we're kind of always getting ready for a recession after a very strong Q3 because we have so much fewer sales in Q4 than we do in Q3.

SaaS Interviews with CEOs, Startups, Founders
1698 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?

So it's just a matter of like, yeah, it's going to be really tough, but we'll figure it out.

SaaS Interviews with CEOs, Startups, Founders
1698 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?

Right now, it's probably two-thirds comes from the car and one-third comes from the warranties and loans.

SaaS Interviews with CEOs, Startups, Founders
1698 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?

In a world which we want to be in over time, it's probably going to be closer to 40, 60, maybe even 55, 45.

SaaS Interviews with CEOs, Startups, Founders
1698 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?

That's the ideal world.

SaaS Interviews with CEOs, Startups, Founders
1698 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?

Really successful dealerships...

SaaS Interviews with CEOs, Startups, Founders
1698 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?

are actually closer to 60% loan and warranty and 40% metal.

SaaS Interviews with CEOs, Startups, Founders
1698 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?

But they also sell new cars and new cars have lower margins on the metal.

SaaS Interviews with CEOs, Startups, Founders
1698 Shift Sells $200m Worth of Cars, Makes $30m, $225m Equity Raised, IPO Next?

So it's a little bit of a different world.