George Friedman
Appearances
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
You believe the United States can remain dominant in space over the next 50 years? We are dominant in space. Our technology is way ahead of us, but we're modest, deliberately so. We understate our capabilities.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
That's amazing. But it was a place where you could petition the government. With the rise of technocracy, there was no way to petition the government. Yes. So I didn't get the Medicaid that I'm supposed to get, whatever it is, because I had a good insurance policy. I didn't want to go to government insurance policy. Yes.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
And it was a very wise move. We were engaged, forced to be engaged in the wars because the United States cannot be invaded. Canada can't invade us, no matter if they'd like to now. Mexico can't invade us. It's the command of the sea that's our defense. When the Germans started U-boats in the First World War, sinking Lusitania, that's when we invaded, intervened.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
They fined me when I finally went to get Medicaid because I had not gotten it. But I had known that it wasn't necessary. No one ever said it to me. And there was nothing to petition, so I had to give in. So we have a federal government where you cannot petition the government. And that, I think, is the most important thing.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
The second thing is that the experts do not have a layer of common sense above them. Wise men. And the same is true of the Supreme Court. There are lawyers. When the question on integration came up, the head of the Supreme Court was Warren, was- Warren Burger. Warren Burger. And Warren Burger knew that he had to have an absolute unanimity on desegregation.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
And since he'd been a politician, not a lawyer, He brought the Southerners around and he built it in and they got a 9-0 vote. Every one of them on the Supreme Court now is a lawyer. Well, the law is more subtle than the law appears. There has to be subtlety. And so what happened was that the federal government fell in love with experts after World War II. Experts won World War II.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
The people who built the atomic bomb, who built the bombers, the hands of both landing craft and everything. These were experts. And the federal government fell in love with expertise, which is a very important thing to have. Yes. But there was no Eisenhower above them who may not have known how to engineer anything, but had enough common sense to know how to use them.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
And that layer was lost when the politicians sank below the level of the bureaucrats. Or more precisely, they created agencies that didn't answer to anyone and made their own laws. And the problem was not they were corrupt or evil or anything like that. It's just they did their job and the other did their job and they contradicted each other.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
And there was no common sense hovering above them saying, you can't tell everybody to stay at home forever. Yes. You know, we're going to have the disease. It's going to have to happen, but you can't do this. But Fauci as a doctor, well, this is what doctor says. Stay home. He doesn't tell you what to do about your job, that you're going to lose all your money. It's not his concern.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
That's not his concern. That's the problem. The problem is expertise, the technocracy. And what's happening right now is what would happen with any president. But, I mean, we certainly have a president who is doing that job, radically disrupting the presidency. It's like the first hundred days of the Roosevelt administration, when he shut down all the banks, a bank holiday.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
The banking system was collapsing. He wound up trying to stuff more people on the Supreme Court. So the same problems. So at the times we transition, there's times when great presidents like Jackson or such come up. We have these incredible problems. I wrote a book called A Storm Before the Calm. We're in that storm.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
And after the storm, like in the 50s, we enter a very different place and a much more pleasant place and a much more profitable place. But right now we're in it.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
When the British Navy looked like it was going to fall in the hands of the Germans by invasion, that's when we got agitated. When the Japanese attacked Pearl Harbor, that's where we were agitated.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
so we're a unique country enormously wealthy and immune from attack except from the sea so our basic strategy has to be command of the scene now when the russians ended world war ii we were terrified that they would conquer europe not because we love the europeans but because what if they had control of the atlantic ports in france what would the russian navy do So we built a forward strategy.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
Well, we went through a global conflict. It was called the Cold War. And there were a lot of casualties on all sides. It wasn't a war like World War II or World War I, but it was an intense war. There was Vietnam. There was Korea. There was Iraq. All of these, Afghanistan started with the Russian invasion. So the Cold War raged around the world. I think now the Cold War is over.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
it's over because Russia has proven it cannot take Ukraine and therefore cannot take Europe and so therefore there's no reason to wage a war that's very hard to make a peace when you haven't crushed the other guy right but it happens so what the United States is doing now is as a result of this, is decoupling from the world.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
Our exposure in the world in the last few years was countered to all of our traditions, but also not very profitable or happy.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
So there was a time when we really cared what happened in the Congo. Back in the 60s, they supported Patrice Lumumba. We supported Maurice Chambe. Yes. Who cares what happens to the Congo? I don't want to say anything terrible about the Congo, but it's not our problem. Right. And everything was our problem. And our entire financial system was based on the two things. One,
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
bound imbalance trade to make the Europeans healthy. That was critical. But then we used these trade relations to build alliances in the third world. And one of them was China. And we did very well in China. We made China more dependent on us than on Russia. And we split that relationship fairly deeply. Chinese did not support the Russians in the reigning war.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
It was a great strategy, but it leaves us in an untenable position if the Cold War is over. We no longer have to play this role. Now, the storm is the old elite and people supporting them are enraged at breaking norms and guardrails. Well, this country was built breaking guardrails, rules. It was called the revolution. That's how he believed it. And every 50 years,
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
socially, economically, every 80 years, institutionally, we break the guardrails. We reinvent ourselves. We're a country of invention. We're a country of reinvention. And when that happens, there's a terrible fight between the Anshan regime, the old regime, if you will, and the emerging regime. And Roosevelt was considered dictator, was charged with being dictator.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
Roosevelt was said by Walter Lippmann, a very renowned person, the least... least capable president in our history okay and so jackson was and all of these were so he may well have been incompetent it may have been his staff who supported it doesn't matter but the united states is a great country because unlike European countries, it reinvents itself.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
The war comes, the war goes, and we change with it. The Europeans fundamentally stay the same. So does China. How is the U.S. changing now? Well, firstly, what's ending? What's ending? The first problem that I said in the book, and this was published in 2020, I think, was the universities. The universities are the engine of our social structure. It's where the people come from.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
And the universities had become ideological places, as they usually do, but the ideology was Yes. And the universities had become massive, inefficient entities. So it's not simply the government that has to undergo a dramatic change. Harvard, who had been the place where the wealthy went, became a place for immigrants to go after World War II. Harvard has to change.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
Instead of waiting for that to happen, we built NATO. And NATO existed primarily to block the Russian entry into the Atlantic. We had to rebuild Europe in order to make it viable. And they lost their empire, and that became the third world, officially. And we fought constantly with the Russians, hand-to-hand combat, sort of covert operations, trying to block them.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
Now, the engineering part of this is difficult. And whether the president is engineering it well or badly or not, it's being re-engineered. And the opposition comes from those who see no need for change. Yes. Who see no need not to go into Ukraine. Right. But Biden saw no need to go into Ukraine. So it's not, we can't base this just on personalities. Right.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
It was Biden who established a strategy of not going into Ukraine, but sending every miserable weapon we had. He used satellites first. So I tend to depersonalize history. Every president is an egomaniac. He has to be. To believe you can be the president of the United States, you have to have an ego. The difference between Trump and everybody else is he doesn't hide it. He celebrates it.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
But I grew up around four miles from him. We were living in Queens. We'd left the Bronx. And he lived in Jamaica Heights, which is a very nice place to live. And I lived in Springfield Gardens, four miles away. Not nearly as nice a place. But that's how we behaved. We strutted around. We threatened people. We didn't mean it. We had a fist fight. We became friends.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
It was, for me, his personality is not alien. For my wife, who comes from upper-class Australian life, it's horrible that he behaved this way.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
For me? The Wasps don't like Trump at all. Hey, I remember Dominic. My buddy Dominic in Springfield Gardens. Yeah. He was the twin to Trump. Was he successful? Oh, yeah. He's an accountant now in Long Island.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
He didn't have to have this personality. Eisenhower, who was a very wealthy man, and I don't think he saw anybody who was poor who wasn't his servant. cast himself as the champion of war, convincingly. Presidents are actors. Presidents shape themselves to the moment. Abraham Lincoln was a cheap lawyer in his own way. He came from Kentucky. He was practically a southerner.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
He crafted himself to be what he had to be. The presidency is partly what you see inside yourself and then what you become. That's all of us. If all of us lived the life we think inside publicly, it'd be a terrible place in the world. But presidents craft themselves at the moment. And if you're smart enough to craft yourself, And it takes huge discipline to do that.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
You can govern, but then you're used to governing based on reality. So a presidential candidate is nothing but a realist if he's going to win. And as a realist, you as president try to hide the reality a bit and appear to be a very nice guy and having only the best wishes in the heart for everybody. Well, I'm going to try this one.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
For China to go to war with us, it has to be a war in the Pacific. We've built a string of bases around China, from the Aleutian Islands all the way to Australia, with the Australian Air Force on the southern flank. And there are only narrow passages through these islands. The greatest thing we did was convince the Filipinos not to go with China, but go with the United States.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
We now have four bases in the Philippines. And these block all the exit routes. So, for example, to invade Taiwan would be a very interesting thing for them. It takes about 10, 15 hours for a landing craft to reach Taiwan from China. By that time, our satellites will pick up the landing craft. And if we're in the mood, Guam will send a missile out to take it.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
And that's, for the last 80 years, what we did. Well, Russia proved in Ukraine that it is not going to be able to occupy Ukraine. It can't occupy Europe. And the Europeans have had a free ride, and I think that's pretty true. And our commitment is to the defense of the United States. The major danger to the United States is, of course, nuclear war. And that battle is fought in space.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
There's a reason why the Taiwanese always threaten to invade Taiwan and never do. They can't. So the reality is, space notwithstanding, that's another sort of war, that the Chinese Navy, you can build as many ships as you want, but you're going through a narrow strait, and we can take it out.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
They're not going to go to war with us, and they may fight on the border with the Indians, which they have, and have lost. So, China has bluffed and inside straight beautifully.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
Yeah, well, we thought that about the Russians, the Germans, the Japanese, everybody. Yeah. One of our great powers is overestimating our enemy. If we overestimate our enemy, it's enormous what we can do. So the Chinese can't lead, but there's one great threat that's buried beneath the talk about the financing and everything. Remember the Arab oil embargo of 1973? Yeah.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
Wrecked the American economy. Yep. The dependency... on raw materials is one thing. Dependency on manufactured goods to be the basic implements of our industry is a very dangerous place to be.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
If you don't have control over that supply chain, if you are so dependent, not just on China, but on any country, or the world in general, for your economy to function, and for me, because I don't have any money, financial crisis doesn't bother me. To me, the essential weakness we had with the Chinese
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
As we created China, Chinese exports to the United States, American investment in China, American businesses moving to China created this. And these businesses are, of course, under the control of the Chinese, as they should be. My fear is that if China decided to really hurt us, they'd stop shipping those goods. So reshoring is not just a question of jobs.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
That's there too, but I think that's the cover. Reshoring is a question of national security. We are so dependent for so much of our equipment, our aircraft and everything else. from China and nowhere else really. So we are now moving rapidly into India and we'll have later a problem with India. But one of the reasons to have a domestic based economy is you're secure nationally, right?
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
You're not depending. And during the last period, remember that Having a disfavorable balance of payments was a strategic issue. It was a national security issue. You wanted to make your allies stronger than the Soviet allies. And we played the same game in China. We made the Chinese dependent on the United States, excessively so, so that we're dependent on China.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
So it's interesting, not surprising, the president has raised tariffs on everybody. even the Canadians hate us, and pulled back dramatically, really. Not in the Chinese.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
Chinese have nowhere to move. This is where the corporations move. The corporations are reshoring, but more important, moving to India, what they really have done, simply because their business is to make money It's cheaper to build it in China. It's cheaper to build it in India. Americans don't want to spend that much money on cell phones and everything.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
It's called Donald Trump. i think that's what it did what i'm saying is he's the wrecking ball that lincoln was and the wrecking ball that roosevelt was and jackson was he's shifting the country we have these incredible problems i wrote a book called the storm before the calm we're in that storm and after the storm we enter a very different place
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
But the problem is that, and this was a huge mistake, we did not diversify our industry overseas. We wanted less expensive goods to be made available to drive our economy. But we had a double focus on China. One was to split it from Russia. And two is to get cheaper products.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
And we've concentrated excessively on bringing China into a dependency on the United States, failing to see that we were dependent on them. So my fear about this, and the part that's never talked about is, what if the Chinese or all these countries, Vietnam, what if they have coup d'etats? What if they have earthquakes, floods? What if they can't supply us with the goods we need?
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
Satellites sensing launches, being able to do mad mutually assured destruction and so on. Next 50 years will be about a much less integrated U.S. with the world. Not isolated, not certainly trading intensely with countries. But we have spent the past 85 years in constant warfare, small, large, covert, overt. I participate in some of that and it was exhausting.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
We are heavily dependent on a handful of countries for major resources. And it may be more expensive to build them in the United States, but national security requires that our supply chain be under our control.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
Well, we have an example. Our industrial plant grew tremendously in the 1890s. We became the major producer of industrial products in the world. We were China. And we sold them to the Europeans. And that caused a huge boom through the 1910s and 1920s. And then World War I happened. And the Europeans wrecked themselves, as they do periodically, and they couldn't buy anymore.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
And that was the first trigger of the depression. If you become too dependent on exports, you're highly vulnerable to not being able to sell them. If you become too dependent on imports, your own economy can't function. So there has to be prudence exercised. It's not a question that we go to simply being our own country and nothing else, or we go to free trade that's untrammeled.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
It has to be a kind of prudent step where we balance the economic issue. But what rendered us imprudent was the Cold War. We were so concerned with Congo not becoming communist, that we would have very favorable terms and aid and everything else to these countries. And it made sense given the Cold War and our fears about what would happen.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
But when the Cold War, it didn't end with the fall of communism. Cold War ended with the demonstrated failure of the Russians to take Ukraine. They should have done it a week if they were afraid of it. That's when it ended, but nobody rethought because, you know, 10 years is not that much of a timeframe, three years, whatever.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
And we are now facing the fact of how exposed we become and how rational is the system now. It wasn't rational 10 years ago. It was pretty intensely this way. But given that a nation is not just an economy, it is security. The national security consideration outweighed for the moment the economic consideration, the financial consideration. At this point, it has to be re-engineered.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
So I look at history in two ways. One, there is the path that it's going to take, that has to take. Then there's how you engineer it. That's what presidents do. They're engineers. Now, is this a good way to engineer it or not? Well, he's following the Roosevelt model. First 100 days, almost over. before any opposition can form against you, go wild.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
Then when the opposite forms, and I saw a poll today saying that 80% of the Republicans oppose him on courts and stuff like that. And, you know, the opposition is formed. And then you moderate and you shift and you do politics domestically. We haven't seen him do that yet. Now the question will become an engineering one. One, does he see another way? And two, frankly, a personality one.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
Does he back off? But what Roosevelt did, and he was a very slick guy, is he pushed to the limit, challenging every court there is. Every court was ruling against anything he tried to do. Okay, you can't do that. And so he train wrecked for 100 days. And I think we have seven more days left.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
for the hundred days and we're about at the same stage but americans have no sense of history they don't ever say oh we've seen this before right because we didn't we weren't alive then yes and we don't remember and we don't remember the civil war and we don't mention jackson tell him the supreme court well if you want the indians to stay where they are you go keep them there we're there i'm not so we don't remember that we've done this before
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
So it took a bar in Carlisle, Pennsylvania for me to realize this. A bar in Carlisle, Pennsylvania? I was teaching at a college in Carlisle, Pennsylvania and also the U.S. Army War College at the same time. And I went out drinking with some colonels who drink well. And, you know, they were moaning and complaining and all sorts of things about what America has become. This was back in the 70s.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
So the country really doesn't have to do that. So what I see happening is two things. One, the United States taking on a role it had for most of its history. as a country that is self-sustaining, highly trading, involved in the world, certainly on alert with the great military. But the battle, the next battles will be fought in space.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
It was, you know, what the economy has become. The troops under us are not reliable. And it was terrible. And I was sitting there wondering, because I was having a fine time in my life. I didn't see what was any terrible. Had this ever happened before in America?
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
that there'd be such a disjuncture between the prosperity we actually had in spite of everything and the misery that these men dedicated to their country felt. And I had a choice between picking up the waitress or go to my study and think about this. The waitress turned me down, as they always do, and I went to study. So I started looking back in history. This was back in the 70s, really.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
And I started noticing patterns that I couldn't explain. Patterns of deep crisis in the government. And then I noticed for some reason that I can't tell you why. It's about every 50 years. Every 50 years we have a social economic crisis. Last one being Reagan, the one he came in on. after the 70s, and every 80 years, we have an institutional crisis.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
We founded a country, 80 years later, we have a civil war. It determines that the central government is in charge, the federal government is in charge of the states. 80 years after that, we invent the federal government. That was World War II. So it's about that time.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
so i was able to say you know years ago in 2009 i wrote a book on the cycles saying that uh you know the 20s are going to be hell guys get ready and then i was actually managed to pin it down to their election at 24. Wow. Which was pure luck. It was a guess. It was no genius involved. But it was apparent to me that we could not sustain the system as it was. And there were two breakpoints.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
One was the universities diverging from society. Second, the technocracy of the government that could not collaborate in making sensible solutions, but were trapped. And finally, the end of the Cold War, just like the end of World War II. And with that, everything changes. And in a few years, we'll be happy again. And we'll forget all this. You think so? Oh, yeah.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
If you forget the depression where 50% of the people at one point were unemployed, You can forget things.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
This sounds strange, but it would have been strange if the next war in Europe would be fought in the air and that nuclear weapons would arise. We were protected from nuclear war by mutually assured destruction. It was the one war in which the leaders themselves would be killed on the first round. We would hit and they would hit. And so there was no war because we had 30 minutes warning.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
It's called Donald Trump. I think that's what it is. What I'm saying is, whether he planned it or just is it, he's the man of the moment. He's the wrecking ball that Lincoln was and the wrecking ball that Roosevelt was and Jackson was. And he's shifting the country by emphasizing two things. One, the world culture wars are untenable. Yes. Secondly, you can't keep inventing classes. Yes.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
Second, equal opportunity is not equal outcome. Yes. So as Warren, the universities are, I was a university professor for a number of years and I'm happy to see them being wrecked. I was not happy there. But the president is also trying to restructure the federal government because it's become vast and unknowable. And that's really the problem. The problem is that
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
During the COVID crisis, Fauci ruled. Nobody in the education department was listened to to say, you can't do that to the schools. No one in the Department of Commerce said, we're going to have massive unemployment if you do this. Okay? So there was no element of common sense. And so anybody who would come in at this point would have to say, look, We're dysfunctional.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
We're arguing over issues of whether or not gender can be changed and whether it's an equal class. What are we talking about? We're looking at the situation in the federal government that no one really knows at the top what in God's name is happening at the bottom. We have to change that. The Cold War is over. Our foreign policy has to shift. Yes. As it is.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
And whoever became president at this point might have better manners, but would be doing about the same thing. And Roosevelt set the stage with the 100 days. Yes. And what is now happening is the opposition is inevitably forming because we're a democracy. Noah was a king, and now we're going to find out more about Donald Trump and his political acumen, and we'll see.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
But we are at a stage that was predictable and a stage that's good because any country that can reinvent itself after 50 years, just by having a few years of horrible crisis, it's wonderful. Look at how we adjusted ourselves after World War II to being a world power. I were comfortable with it for decades and built our economy on that.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
When you take a look at the way we handle it after the civil war, what other country had a civil war that came back to fairly a decent, you know, okay. You know, we had it, we re-engineered slavery through that made the South, not just an agricultural area. And we re-engineered the world in world war II and re-engineered at the end economically.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
Because we had radars and after the U-2 was shot down, we were kind of spying on the Russians. They were spying in other ways. we launched satellites. Remember the first American satellite and the first American Russian satellite were launched a month for each other. First American man in space and first Russian man in space launched weeks apart.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
And after 50 years, it's obsolete and you're trading your car regularly because you don't want your neighbors to think that you can't afford it. And so this is how we are. It is inherent in the American culture that a crisis looms where other countries would live through it and devolve and not be willing to change. We transform ourselves and it's really not fun to live through that time.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
There's never been one. And we've been here for a long time. And we've done this lots before. So if we didn't collapse after the Civil War, and we didn't collapse after the Depression, This is not one of the worst crises we've had. So it's just a way we change things, okay? I remember my family, my father used to say, I need a new car. And my mother would say, you don't need a new car.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
You need this and that and the other thing. And you're not buying a new car. And there'd be terrible fights. Who won? My mother. But it was...
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
I think not, because there is no power in the world that can still challenge the United States.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
the russians have demonstrated that their vaunted red army now not red uh is incapable of overrunning a much smaller weaker country that after three years of fighting he only held a small sliver of it and that's goes in keeping with what i used to think it was taught by a man called andy marshall who's in office net assessments and he said the russians are not nearly as good as everybody believes
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
So I was once in Hungary, and I was born there, and I was watching a Russian maneuver. And the gas lines were leaking. They were plastic, and you needed them going forward on tanks. And nobody seemed to care. Six months later, I happened to wander back there to take a look. It was still leaking. You remember the line of tanks lined up in Ukraine, off the mountain, out of gas, waiting for days?
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
I think they were still using that same gas line. The point is that the Russian... logistics system and its senior staff, its commanding generals, particularly the staff level, were not very creative, shall we say. They took their bearings for World War II with a mass attack by infantry, backed by armor and artillery. Yes. And they didn't understand that that no longer functioned.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
The massing of troops is very, very dangerous, and that there has to be a different model of warfare. So they attacked Ukraine as if this was 1941, and they're at war. And the Ukrainians were very agile because they had great intelligence.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
When the president said, we're not going to give you intelligence anymore for a day, that time, the intelligence he was talking about was intelligence for satellites of exactly where the Russian troops were, down to the smallest number. So the smaller Ukrainian army could mass against them and block them. So that was a really serious threat. Yes. And he did it for a day.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
So I always wondered, and I don't know, that there was a kind of collaboration between the Russians and Americans to maintain MAD, Mutual Assured Destruction. It was a really neat name for it. Now MAD is short for space. Satellites are flying there. Satellites, one, block the Russians in Ukraine. American satellites could see small units down a meter level resolution.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
I don't think he really cut it off. He just said he would. But the Russians never adjusted to the fact that the war they planned to wage in Europe, which they never did, was untenable at this point. And so Russia, unless it wants a nuclear war, it can't have that. It's not a viable power. And it's not influential in the world either.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
The Chinese, as I said, are blocked in by a very clever structure of islands we've built around them. It's very hard to pass through them, and especially to get back. And so a world war would indicate there would be another global power. And China's not a global power. It just doesn't have the forces to do that. Russia's not a global power. We're a global power and we don't want to be one.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
We want to come home. And we are going to come home. We'll still have relationships and we'll still have forces scattered here and there. But this massive commitment we made to the entire world to defend them against communism. Well, communism died 10 years ago. And Russia kind of, I suspect US and Russia will reach a good relationship. Remember, we rebuilt Japan. We rebuilt Germany after the war.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
We made them great allies. This is American system when we fight wars. And I suspect that one of the things that Trump is trying to engineer with Putin is an understanding. The Russians are in bad economic shape. Their economy grew because the war and definite deficit spending on the war machine built it. But they're cut off. The oligarchs are furious.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
And there's a great argument going on in Russia between the nationalists, if you will, and liberals who want to become integrated. And Putin is, look, Putin attacked Ukraine. His forces were unable to penetrate. So he took a mercenary army, the Wagner Group, to join them. Now the army and the Wagner Group didn't like each other. So the Russian army didn't give them artillery shells.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
So after a while, the Wagner group came back and tried to do coup d'etat in Moscow. Now, tragically, they all died in an airplane crash. I couldn't, my heart goes out to them. But when you take a look at the execution of the war, as it actually was, It was a cluster something. It was terribly executed and politically almost suicidal for Putin.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
So Putin's opposition, Putin's under tremendous pressure to open up Russia to the West. It's a wonderful investment opportunity and many hedge funds in the United States are gathering funds for investing in Russia. Land is cheap, workers are fairly well educated, work cheap, close to Europe, all sorts of things.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
I think Trump's ultimate plan is, and he was accused of being pro-Russian, which I think he just had vision of what was going to come out of this war, was, look, we got along with Germany after the war. It was just fine. And we got along with Japanese. It was okay. And the Russians haven't done anything to us to be as pissed as we are at Germany and Japan.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
So I think he looks at it as a huge investment opportunity. He sees Putin as very weak. And he's trying to maintain Putin with some credibility. He's got a lot of enemies. On one side, the right wing is furious at his performance in the war. The left wing has had about enough. They'd like to rejoin Europe or something nice. And he must be under tremendous pressure for his performance in a war.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
Well, I think Trump decided that a weak Russian president is much better than a strong Russian president. And he's going to try to do everything he can to make Putin look good. In the meantime, the rest of the world will think that Putin bought him. A friend of mine said, no, Putin gave him money. That's why he's behaving this way. Okay. In my view, he's a good negotiator.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
And we put in things like HIMARS, these missile systems that could, with precision, hit them. So now tactical war is governed from space. MAD is governed from space. And space is full of debris, anti-satellite systems. The Chinese are launching them constantly. We've launched 200 satellites this year. So... Communication satellites? Military satellites? Oh, yes, absolutely.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
He comes in first, the highest price. You ever buy a house? You come in with the lowest price you can think of. The other guy comes with the highest price. Eventually you buy the house. Yeah. But first there's drama. Your wife cries. These things happen. I think this is what he's doing. He's a good negotiator. He slammed the sanctions on, having no intention of keeping them there.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
He knew it would be stupid. I think he overreached anyway, but he pulled back, kept him only on China. And with the Russians, he's trying to give Putin maneuvering room. For one thing, we're not going to go to war in Ukraine. It's not going to happen, but it's a threat that he has. So if you open the war again, you don't know what we're going to do. So deploy 20,000 more troops to Europe.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
Being in Europe is a good thing for American troops. Amsterdam is a wonderful town to visit, if you're young. He's making gestures to the Russians militarily. Nothing serious. But at the same time, he's making it clear that, look, if you're going to attack, it's going to be a tough one.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
and putin is not going to attack putin has to come down having won something and can appear to be capitulated in the united states which he's going to do but i can't look that way i think trump is trying to engineer it in such a way that prudence survives
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
now trump will be despised for this and it's that's inevitable but i think he has an understanding of the situation just because he's negotiated with bankrupt people yes and when you have a bankrupt person be kind what happens in the middle east Well, the Middle East really depends on what happened. The decision to negotiate a summit, it was decided it was going to be held in Riyadh.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
I thought it was going to be held in Budapest because Orban is friends with Putin and friends with Trump. So I figured I'd get together, have a beer and work this out. But they pick Riyadh. Saudi Arabia is opposed to the Islamic terrorists as Israel is. They're terrified of them. And Saudi Arabia is a major power. So, for example, it decided to fund last month the entire Syrian deficit.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
You just pay it. So money talks and other things walk in the Middle East. So I think what is thought of is look,
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
we've been fighting in the middle east for i don't know how many years my daughter was a major in iraq and you know it was very bad and i was mildly involved in afghanistan and this was ridiculous we're fighting over a place neither of us really care about iran the russians are more afraid of iran than we are remember the russian opera house that blew up a terrorist attack
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
So we have equal interests. We share intelligence on those things with Russians. So it's not that, oh yeah, we let them know when we've seen something that might concern them. They let us know. There's collaboration. But the problem of the Middle East is this. There are really rich people who are really afraid of a bunch of mafioso, which I'll call Hamas,
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
Hamas is at the same time an enemy of Israel and a shakedown artist. He's extracted the money from many countries. The theory, I think, between the Russians and the Americans is if we bring the Saudis into a deal and back them suitable and make them responsible for the region, the Saudis have nothing against Israel. They couldn't care less. Okay?
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
The Saudis are much more interested in the states in the Gulf, you know, Emirates, Qatar, these really wealthy places where they're interested in And the idea that Russia or the United States is going to pacify the Middle East is insane. There are two countries that can do it. One is Saudi Arabia, the other is Turkey.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
If Turkey and Saudi Arabia are brought together with some encouragement from the Americans and Russians, it's their problem. And the Turks have bad relations with anyone, everyone, and decided to have great relations with everyone. So it's a perfect alignment. And I think what happens in the Middle East, forgetting the Israeli question for the moment, is some sort of entente.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
Well, they're all communication satellites. They're all looking for, you know, climate on the Earth. That's what they want to look at. These are all spy satellites going up there. And they're looking to the Earth, and they're maneuvering around each other. And one of the things the American public has to understand is the importance of space as a strategic facility.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
Much of what happened in the Middle East, much of what happened in Asia, much of what happened in Africa was American-Russian competition.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
Latin America, Cuba, Colombia, Venezuela, all of these things were this. If that stops, and it's not miraculous, the Japanese and the Americans became allies. And if the Russians and the Americans say, look, we want to make money, we want to have decent lives, And we really don't care about the Middle East. and decide to empower, if you will, countries like Turkey and Saudi Arabia to handle it.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
But we certainly don't want another Middle Eastern war. The Iraqi war was really bad. Especially now there are cell phones and our daughter could call us every night. That's what was happening. It was bad. You know, going away in World War II and you don't see your son for two years. That's okay. But every night a phone call? You know, it was a terrible war. It was not a mistaken war.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
It was a necessary war. But we have to find new necessities. So I think a Russian-American Entente changes the way Africa operates, changes the way the Middle East operates, changes the way Asia operates. And you're already seeing new players emerging. India is exploding, okay? Many of the European countries, the smaller ones, like Poland, are developing marvelously.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
Yeah. And so new powers are emerging. And of course, in 50 years, we'll be raging at each other again. And undoubtedly, there'll be wars because humans have wars. They seem to like them. History goes on.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
Well, I think I would put it this way. Israel by itself is an accident waiting to happen. It's a small country. It has a superb army, a much weaker intelligence system than it should have. And even more importantly than that, one mistake by Israel, one mistake can threaten its existence.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
And in due course, it'll emerge. But the next 50 years for the Americans are going to be, I think, a very golden age. New technologies are coming. Every age we have, every cycle we have is built. The last one was built on the automobile, transforming it. Now it is built not so much on artificial intelligence in my mind, but on material science.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
Israel is a weaker intel infrastructure than... It failed to identify in 1973 the buildup of Syrian tanks and Egyptian tanks in plain sight and misinterpreted them as an exercise. In fact, it came more and almost overran Israel. Wow. Hamas is a small terrorist organization. The Israelis know all about it. I would assume that by now Hamas had been penetrated by Israeli agents so they would know it.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
But the best part was these guys were building little bridges over a waterway and Israeli intelligence didn't wonder what the hell they were doing. What was that? It was a complete break. The Israelis published a report on it finally. Finally fired the head of intelligence and everything. It was a massive major Israeli intelligence failure. That war should never have been allowed to start.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
But then the Israelis also followed this very strange strategy. They started bombing Hamas territory. It failed to end them. So they bombed them again. Failed to end them. So they had been repeating the same thing without succeeding, hoping for a different outcome each time they do it. So I think Israel, I'm Jewish and I really care about it, really needs a new strategic relationship.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
The Saudis are prepared to have the relationship. Now, if Turkey and Saudi Arabia want Hamas to go away, they will go away very fast. So far, Saudis have not had any motivation to do it. But you notice how Qatar, which is a very important tiny country, has become the main negotiating tool. Yes. Both for the Russians and the Americans. Notice they're using the same tool.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
I think the Saudis have had it. The Turks have certainly had it. And they themselves are threatened by Iran. Saudi Arabia is very close to Iran. The Turks are wondering. The US has deployed a major bomber force certain areas that are clearly intended to take out the Iranian nuclear capability, but frankly, we want a missile. We're telling the Iranians, we're planning carpet bombing, guys.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
We had enough. And the Russians are pretty much masked too. So the Russians are doing a lot of negotiating, but they're doing it through the same agency as the Americans are. Gutter meets with the Iranians for the Russians and the Americans. So when you spend your life, if you don't have a life, like I don't have life, you know, I spend my entire time looking at these little things.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
You notice gutter is being used by the Russians and the Americans to talk to the Iranians. Now that's a wonderful thing. What is that? Well, the Iranians don't want to talk directly to Americans or Russians. Okay. They'll talk to the gutters.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
so the americans go to gutter they tell the batteries what to tell the iranians and they come back russia had some message to deliver to the iran i don't know what it was they went to qatar and told him to deliver it so if you're talking about unknown collaboration here it is gutter knows what the americans are saying and you know what the russians are saying
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
Therefore, you must assume that the Russians know what the Americans are saying and the Americans know what the Russians are saying. So the question of Iran, just because they both went to Qatar to be the intermediary, I'm saying they're collaborating. And they are. It's very difficult for Trump to be too close to the Russians because there is much anti-Russian feeling in the United States.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
We are crafting new materials at molecular level for space. Physical materials. Physical materials. For example, the lenses on satellites can see things that glass can't show them. They have acuity that can see a platoon operating. And when you reach that point, there's also massive changes in medicine. We're able to re-engineer genes, in fact.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
It's very difficult for Putin to be collaborating with the Americans because there's much anti-American feeling in Russia. So each of them are trying very hard not to appear too close. Occasionally threats are exchanged pro forma. but they're not of any substance, really. And I think we're already working more closely with the Russians on many matters. I think the Ukrainian war is over.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
I don't think the Russians, having failed miserably in the first war, would try it again, you know, hoping for a different outcome. I mean, look, they attacked them for three years, and look what they have to show for it. You know, a tiny stretch of Eastern Ukraine.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
It's not that they're powerful. They're an internal bureaucracy, very complex, made more complex for the fact security is necessary so that one hand doesn't know what the other is doing and everything else. The idea that you could stage a conspiracy within the CIA against the United States is hilarious. These guys couldn't stage a conspiracy against each other.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
The institutional structure is a federal institution. It's developed that way. The problem is not their power, how deeply they see. I think they feel that operatives are excellent. I think the Russian FSB is outstanding. Does the intelligence get processed properly to get to the people who need to act on it? And what happens in intelligence agencies, they become social security conscious.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
They didn't even want the president to know. Not because they're plotting conspiracy or anything like that. That's nonsense. It's simply that Security becomes a religion. need to know is something that's managed by the intelligence community. Their terror is they're going to lose agents or capabilities because some idiot is going to tell their brother-in-law what was said.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
And I think that's the problem with the agencies. It's not that they're involved in a conspiracy. I don't know how many committees they'd have to have to have a true conspiracy. The problem is that intelligence has to be classified, compartmentalized, limited. And the ability even of the head of the CIA to know all of everything that they know is first a mental problem. It's a lot to know.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
And you can say we had the intelligence, but we was buried. And how has it gotten out of security? The problem is inherent in intelligence, which is that unless you have a small organization of people you trust completely, a large organization of people on different levels of security,
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
the flow of information is very hard and the person who might be able to make sense of it, maybe isn't cleared to have it. So you have the inefficiency that you see in federal department exists in the CIA as well. Now, how do you reform an intelligence agency is very hard because you need that security. You need that compartmentalization. You need to protect your sources.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
You need to protect your satellites. You can't spread it around. And so what the British always had was a very small intelligence agency. Their view was with MIT, They were very limited in the capabilities they had, but very smart in making sure the information got to the people who had to have it.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
So it's in the first stages, but not in a primitive stage. So just as the automobile changed our life and the railroad changed our life previously and canals before that, material science, I think, is the radical innovation based on artificial intelligence having a major component to it.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
And it was always odd that of the five eyes, the five intelligencies share everything, which is a very important entity. It's Britain, it's the United States, it's Canada, I guess they're still playing. It's Australia, it's New Zealand. It might be called the English-speaking world, but we wouldn't call it that. Yes.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
Sometimes they laterally trust each other at that level more than they trust the upstairs and downstairs. So it's a very strange thing.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
Well, the problem is the Department of Education was supposed to serve education. I don't know what it serves. Health and Human Services. The problem is not a CIA problem. The problem is that the federal government grew vast during World War II to manage it if needed to, grew vaster still by trying to micromanage America, And they're very good people in the government. It's not to question that.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
And they did the same thing with CIA. It started as a very small organization called the OSS with a bunch of guys from Harvard and Yale swimming around. And it grew into a massive entity. And in that massive entity,
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
information is fragmented the key to since i was an analyst i'll say the key to the cia's analysis collection is nice but it's worth nothing until it's analyzed right what is it if the all the analysts can't see the information so for example i spotted the russians speaking to gutter and the americans speaking together well it was in your time so what the hell But can someone recognize it?
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
Well, when you're under such constraints of what you can see and what you can think and so on, you're just another federal agency. So it's not something unique. It's not a government. It couldn't govern anything. It doesn't.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
it isn't even a conspiracy you couldn't organize one the problem the cia is the same thing as the problem with the other agencies and it's very easy to say you know if you want to say that this idiotic act was clearly planned by someone it had to be the cia now they're idiotic things planned by the cia also wonderful accomplishments
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
But conspiracy is a very hard thing to keep quiet, especially if you need a lot of people. So it's not a government, it's a federal bureaucracy, and it needs reforming. And reforming the CIA is going to be a very complicated thing because you have to maintain security. And firing a whole bunch of people, doing the Elon Musk routine, holy smoke. Can you imagine all the...
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
And all of that material science was developed for space, for survival of machines in space, particularly in telescopes. They were evil to, there's a company called Prophecyon that's put solar systems on satellites so they can survive and energize. the satellites to maneuver. And it's really an extraordinary thing.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
It's a very difficult thing to do. because your own population takes pride in being Roman. And our population doesn't take pride in being the dominant power in the world. There's something unique and wonderful, I'll say that, about the United States. I say that as an immigrant, you know, having known the other
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
We are the only nation that didn't take absolute pride in making war in Iraq and trying to make it an American colony. We're fighting the Russians. We are proud of our country and our country is large enough to hold our contentment. We're a continent. We're a vast continent in which we can live in peace and happiness.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
And the World War I we didn't want to be in because we didn't want to be involved. And we didn't want to be in World War II.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
And we really didn't want to be in the Cold War.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
The fact is that I served in Germany and I didn't like it. I liked the Netherlands. That was fun. But Germany, no. But we stood at the Fulda Gap, we said. Well, I certainly didn't want to stand at the Fulda Gap. I didn't really care about the Germans much myself. I was happy to come home. So I think in the United States, the wish has always been that the Cold War be over.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
That we could stop worrying about Belgium or the Congo. For God's sakes, Vietnam. Who cares? So I think unlike... We're not an empire. We're a republic. And an empire... Britain was an empire. It was a monarchy. And it's governed that way. Yes. But we take no pride. We took pride in winning World War II. Sure. But we took no pride in the Korean War. We took no pride in the Vietnam War.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
The best we could say is we had to do it. and having all my children serving in the military, I can also say that my son was in the Air Force and so on and so forth, it was not a pleasant thing. So where in Britain being, you know, a general in the army who was a matter of pride or serving his private was, here it was a duty, but we'd much rather come home.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
And so I don't think we'll have that problem. We have the ocean protecting us, the Atlantic and the Pacific. We have Canada. We should be nice to Canada. You know, it's a nice place. We have Mexico to the south. All right. We're a fortress. We don't need the rest of the world. Rome had to conquer the rest of the world. The Byzantine Empire had to conquer as much as it could.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
We don't have to conquer anything. I don't think we'll have any trouble withdrawing our troops from the miserable third world countries we deployed them in. So if we had to, I think we're one of the few empires that really didn't want to be one. We did okay. But if my kids come home and they're well and they're healthy and they get decent careers, I'll be happy.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
And while we focus on Ukraine properly, we fail to understand that the reason the United States did not intervene with troops is we had a better solution. We spotted the Russians moving. We could order the Ukrainian forces to be right in their way, even though they were a small force. We knew where they were coming. And more importantly,
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
we finally put in something called HIMARS, which was they could launch six rockets at a time, much better than artillery because the explosive force was great. And when there was Russian concentration, now this is, an American was always in one of them, just one American. It was Ukraine operated, but he had to put a card in to let the machine run. So then they pulled the trigger.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
So the Americans were more deeply involved than was known, but not militarily. We were not taking casualties. And it was about time that we dealt with a problem without taking casualties. So you believe the United States can remain dominant in space over the next 50 years? We are dominant in space. When we go back to the Cold War, there was a time we were talking about missile gap.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
Anybody recall that? There was no missile gap. The U-2s went over the plane place and they spotted all of it. We were way ahead of them. Our technology is way ahead of us, but we're modest, deliberately so. It's not that we, the scientists don't brag about us, but we understate our capabilities and we overstate the Chinese. That's always a good way to get budgets.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
You know, we are much better at this. We've been at it a long time, far longer. And the Russians are third. The Russians are not second. Chinese are second. But command of space is now what the command of oceans was.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
No, but there's a sense of passivity in the United States on military things. There's a sense, okay, let's not waste money on defense. And there's a whole psychology developed in World War II of how to get money out. But I think the president and everyone else knows who is involved in this, that space is the battleground now.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
And the amount of money Elon Musk has put into his X-Force, and he's boosting a lot of the satellites, is enormous. But everybody's in on the game.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
He certainly is. I mean, he's a very smart guy. Maybe not likable, but he's a very smart guy. He went into electric cars. And then he went into, along with people like the Amazon king, I forget his name, Bezos. He went into rockets. And of course, it was just a hobby. But it emerged into a major business, and they're both major foundations of the Americans' launch program.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
Because right now, you have to launch a lot of satellites, because you know you're going to lose a lot of them. And if you lose a lot of them, you lose a tactical advantage on the ground and a strategic capability in nuclear war. So we're emerging into a new age, which normally has a new technology. And this new technology is partly satellites, but that's really 1950s stuff emerged.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
But the way these satellites are made is, is not made from the normal metals and plastics that we had in the past. Particularly their sensors are built with material science and solar energy and extraordinary things that will be integrated into the earth as World War II technology became very present in the American economy in the 50s. That's what's going to happen.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
And I see this as one of those times where what normally happens in the United States is every 50 years we have a historical crisis. We rage at each other. This is the end of an era. It's when an era exhausts itself.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
And the era that began with... Ronald Reagan has the social and economic era.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
Is it his end? It's pleaded out, the economic and social thing. The social crisis is terrible. And it's crisis of what I call hyper-egalitarianism, where saying that black slaves who really still weren't treated decently in the United States was a moral imperative. But genetic engineering of genitalia do not constitute a new class. Yes. So we've invented classes and demanded egalitarianism.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
He did something else. we stopped asking for equal opportunity and turned to equal outcomes. Yes. And this became untenable. So we had a social crisis. At the same time, we had an institutional crisis. The federal government was really invented in its current form by Theodore Roosevelt to deal with the recession, but it was forged in World War II.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
In World War II, it was the federal government, this massive entity built around the Pentagon and everything else, that it won the war. It was very efficient. It was necessary at the time. It evolved into something else. It evolved into a fundamentally inefficient entity. Its greatest weakness was experts. I've said this in writing. The experts knew a great deal. Fauci was not a criminal.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
He was not a Chinese intelligence agent or anything like that. He was a doctor. And you looked at the doctor and said, okay, now what do we do? And he said, well, everybody should stay at home and not go out. And children should not go to school. Well, we have children, and if a four- or five-year-old doesn't get to play with other children, he becomes a homicidal maniac. Yes. You can't do that.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
Well, I think the United States is withdrawing not to isolationism, but to Fortress America. It's interesting that the Mexican president called for Fortress North America.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
But we depended on him with his narrow expertise. What we had lost in the federal government was a class of people with common sense. When I was a kid in the Bronx, there were party bosses. Charlie Buckley ran the Bronx. One day, my father, who had finally bought a car, had an accident. The insurance company wouldn't pay. So somebody said, go see Charlie Buckley. He went to Charlie Buckley.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
Charlie Buckley made a phone call. He had an email. Carrier, you know, messenger's on the way to house with a check. But you remember, you vote for me, your vite votes for me, your children will vote for me. And there was a way to petition the government. Remember, the Constitution guarantees us the right to petition the government.
The Tucker Carlson Show
George Friedman Predicts the Next 50 Years of Global Affairs and the Importance of Space Domination
The party bosses, as corrupt as they were, and they were certainly corrupt, were our channel to the government. They were our channel to corporations. Smart, yes. But they were taken out, and they were replaced by technocrats.