Gordon Chang
👤 SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
On a controversial topic like this, we really don't have precise views of the way the Chinese people think, because you can't actually say what you think, and no one's going to ask. But let me put it this way. I don't think the people in China think about this issue all the time. If you were to ask them, you would probably get an answer something like this.
On a controversial topic like this, we really don't have precise views of the way the Chinese people think, because you can't actually say what you think, and no one's going to ask. But let me put it this way. I don't think the people in China think about this issue all the time. If you were to ask them, you would probably get an answer something like this.
On a controversial topic like this, we really don't have precise views of the way the Chinese people think, because you can't actually say what you think, and no one's going to ask. But let me put it this way. I don't think the people in China think about this issue all the time. If you were to ask them, you would probably get an answer something like this.
95% would say, yes, Taiwan should be part of the People's Republic. But if you were to ask them, would I give my only son or daughter to go across the Taiwan Strait to kill Taiwanese to annex it? You're down in the single digits. And the reason is, there's a couple of reasons. First of all, Although we just went through this, people in Taiwan don't think they're Chinese.
95% would say, yes, Taiwan should be part of the People's Republic. But if you were to ask them, would I give my only son or daughter to go across the Taiwan Strait to kill Taiwanese to annex it? You're down in the single digits. And the reason is, there's a couple of reasons. First of all, Although we just went through this, people in Taiwan don't think they're Chinese.
95% would say, yes, Taiwan should be part of the People's Republic. But if you were to ask them, would I give my only son or daughter to go across the Taiwan Strait to kill Taiwanese to annex it? You're down in the single digits. And the reason is, there's a couple of reasons. First of all, Although we just went through this, people in Taiwan don't think they're Chinese.
The people in China, because of relentless indoctrination, think they're Chinese. And the Chinese people in the mainland will tell you this. Officials or common folk will say, Chinese do not kill Chinese. So, you know, if Xi Jinping is thinking of launching an invasion of the main island of Taiwan, it's just not going to get a lot of people. This would be really, really unpopular.
The people in China, because of relentless indoctrination, think they're Chinese. And the Chinese people in the mainland will tell you this. Officials or common folk will say, Chinese do not kill Chinese. So, you know, if Xi Jinping is thinking of launching an invasion of the main island of Taiwan, it's just not going to get a lot of people. This would be really, really unpopular.
The people in China, because of relentless indoctrination, think they're Chinese. And the Chinese people in the mainland will tell you this. Officials or common folk will say, Chinese do not kill Chinese. So, you know, if Xi Jinping is thinking of launching an invasion of the main island of Taiwan, it's just not going to get a lot of people. This would be really, really unpopular.
That's in general. It's worse now because of the economy, because of the gloom in society. The last thing that people in China want right now is a war. What they want is to go back to the old times of always increasing prosperity, property prices going to the sky every month. They want to go back to where they were 10 years ago. So they don't want a war.
That's in general. It's worse now because of the economy, because of the gloom in society. The last thing that people in China want right now is a war. What they want is to go back to the old times of always increasing prosperity, property prices going to the sky every month. They want to go back to where they were 10 years ago. So they don't want a war.
That's in general. It's worse now because of the economy, because of the gloom in society. The last thing that people in China want right now is a war. What they want is to go back to the old times of always increasing prosperity, property prices going to the sky every month. They want to go back to where they were 10 years ago. So they don't want a war.
And they certainly don't want to kill people for that. So I think it would be really unpopular. Now, there are on the Chinese internet, as there would be in every country, there are hotheads. But they are a very, and I think, decreasing proportion of the Chinese population right now.
And they certainly don't want to kill people for that. So I think it would be really unpopular. Now, there are on the Chinese internet, as there would be in every country, there are hotheads. But they are a very, and I think, decreasing proportion of the Chinese population right now.
And they certainly don't want to kill people for that. So I think it would be really unpopular. Now, there are on the Chinese internet, as there would be in every country, there are hotheads. But they are a very, and I think, decreasing proportion of the Chinese population right now.
I think this is this year and next year and maybe going to 2027 is the period of maximum vulnerability for a couple of reasons. One of them is I don't think Xi Jinping is going to start a war because he wants to rally the Chinese people. I think even he knows that that would be unpopular. But he might go to war to prevent other senior Communist Party leaders from deposing him. That's a real risk.
I think this is this year and next year and maybe going to 2027 is the period of maximum vulnerability for a couple of reasons. One of them is I don't think Xi Jinping is going to start a war because he wants to rally the Chinese people. I think even he knows that that would be unpopular. But he might go to war to prevent other senior Communist Party leaders from deposing him. That's a real risk.
I think this is this year and next year and maybe going to 2027 is the period of maximum vulnerability for a couple of reasons. One of them is I don't think Xi Jinping is going to start a war because he wants to rally the Chinese people. I think even he knows that that would be unpopular. But he might go to war to prevent other senior Communist Party leaders from deposing him. That's a real risk.
Because if you're Xi Jinping, you've built up this incredible military, and you know that the economy is not going to support it. So you're in a use it or lose it situation. And as I said, I think that he is very concerned about what other senior Communist Party leaders might do to him. So this is what his hero, he reveres Mao Zedong, the founder of the People's Republic.
Because if you're Xi Jinping, you've built up this incredible military, and you know that the economy is not going to support it. So you're in a use it or lose it situation. And as I said, I think that he is very concerned about what other senior Communist Party leaders might do to him. So this is what his hero, he reveres Mao Zedong, the founder of the People's Republic.