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Harlan Krumholz

👤 Person
313 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Talk Evidence
Talk evidence covid-19 update - natural history of covid, include patients in guidelines

What I think we're talking about is really trying to understand in the home setting whether we can actually reduce transmission.

Talk Evidence
Talk evidence covid-19 update - natural history of covid, include patients in guidelines

And the problem I have with this is there's no one size fits all.

Talk Evidence
Talk evidence covid-19 update - natural history of covid, include patients in guidelines

Thinking of the size of houses, the ventilation, how many people are living in the house.

Talk Evidence
Talk evidence covid-19 update - natural history of covid, include patients in guidelines

It is difficult for me to understand how we'll bring evidence to say, here's what we can do across that complete range of different environments.

Talk Evidence
Talk evidence covid-19 update - natural history of covid, include patients in guidelines

So I think what we do want is a range of thought processes about the built environment.

Talk Evidence
Talk evidence covid-19 update - natural history of covid, include patients in guidelines

Should there be minimum requirements, for instance, in terms of sizes of rooms?

Talk Evidence
Talk evidence covid-19 update - natural history of covid, include patients in guidelines

airspace, ventilation, and I'm particularly thinking about flats and environments where people are crowded in, I would look at them as the highest risk and think, what can we do differently in them settings?

Talk Evidence
Talk evidence covid-19 update - natural history of covid, include patients in guidelines

So I thought the conversation about natural history was really important, actually.

Talk Evidence
Talk evidence covid-19 update - natural history of covid, include patients in guidelines

One of the key components of what we do in health care is we want to make diagnosis.

Talk Evidence
Talk evidence covid-19 update - natural history of covid, include patients in guidelines

But we also want to risk stratify people, understand those that we can send home, those that we need to admit to the critical care units and those that we just need to admit to a hospital bed.

Talk Evidence
Talk evidence covid-19 update - natural history of covid, include patients in guidelines

And so understanding that information is incredibly important.

Talk Evidence
Talk evidence covid-19 update - natural history of covid, include patients in guidelines

And where that starts with is having an understanding of the next 100 people who come into my emergency department.

Talk Evidence
Talk evidence covid-19 update - natural history of covid, include patients in guidelines

What potential proportion of them with certain features might have COVID?

Talk Evidence
Talk evidence covid-19 update - natural history of covid, include patients in guidelines

And that's really important to be able to do evidence based medicine with diagnostics.

Talk Evidence
Talk evidence covid-19 update - natural history of covid, include patients in guidelines

If you can understand the pretest probability about four or five weeks ago at the height of the pandemic, it might have been 40, 50 percent.

Talk Evidence
Talk evidence covid-19 update - natural history of covid, include patients in guidelines

But as we've admissions have come down, as we said earlier, that proportion will come down and down.

Talk Evidence
Talk evidence covid-19 update - natural history of covid, include patients in guidelines

So then you having that real time information, I think, would be incredibly helpful.

Talk Evidence
Talk evidence covid-19 update - natural history of covid, include patients in guidelines

But this disconnect between research and learning and clinical practice and doing is a real problem.

Talk Evidence
Talk evidence covid-19 update - natural history of covid, include patients in guidelines

I am with Harlan on this, that we need to connect the dots here, because I think for clinicians on the ground, having that information would be very helpful.

Talk Evidence
Talk evidence covid-19 update - natural history of covid, include patients in guidelines

Well, I think we're in the infancy.