Howard Marks
👤 PersonAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
It's winners and losers, maybe more dramatic than ever and happening faster than ever.
Well, the phrase I took away from that, and it's in the memo, is readily available quantitative information about the present.
And Andrew pointed out the evolution of markets.
And I was taught at Chicago in the mid-60s, the efficient market hypothesis that everything is priced right because everybody's working so hard to
find the bargains and the overpricings.
And of course, that's a framework and it was not true that everything was priced right.
But certainly over time, things are priced more right.
It's become more true.
Inefficiencies, which I prefer to say mistakes, things the markets misprices, where do they come from?
They come from ignorance and prejudice.
So Moody's had a prejudice against the single B bond.
It had a prejudice in favor of the nifty-fifty, as did most investors.
And I was lucky to find some things that either others didn't know about or didn't understand.
But human knowledge is cumulative.
And lately, it's been rushing forward at an incredible pace.
So it's hard to imagine that there's a piece of information that I can get off the internet
that's going to make me any money for the simple reason that everybody else can get it off the internet.
This is a zero sum game for a fixed amount of profit.
And it'll go to the people who do better at the expense of the people who do worse.