Ian Grunert
๐ค SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
It means that they may go from 95 to 92 or something, and Linux is going to grow up to about 5%.
But I suspect that the people who think that people are going to go out and replace their Windows 10 devices with a Linux machine or install Linux on their existing device to avoid buying a new device are kind of a little optimistic about how much work people want to put into their computing.
oh man that's a good prediction that's interesting i have like almost the opposite prediction down here i had phones remain the most popular form factor for personal computers in terms of units sold in the trailing 12 months
I just think that I kind of have the opposite view.
I think that phone sales may not go up
but they're still just going to dominate in terms of units sold and there's no other form factor that has emerged that is more popular as a personal computing device.
I have a second device prediction for six years, which was I predict that more Macs are sold in the trailing 12 months than any smart glasses or AI companion devices.
So it's like when the six years is up, we look back in the previous 12 months.
I'm saying that the laptops, well, specifically Macs, so it's not actually the laptops, it's the Mac line, because I think that's the only thing that you can get number of units on roughly.
But I think that more of those are going to get sold than any smart glasses or AI companion devices.
And I'm saying Mac specifically, but like, I think that, you know, laptops is definitely going to be, it's bigger than Macs.
I'm saying that like these smart glasses and AI companion devices are just not a real volume seller at all.
Are they also going to use it for stock buyers?
Are they going to be like, the LLM told me to buy the stock.
I didn't use any insider information to be able to trade on it.
Are you saying that the chat GPT equivalents are going to integrate as a first party or are you taking a SEO black hat view of people are going to work out how to
get their data into the training data such that when someone asks what the best laundry detergent is, then the model will spit back, oh, it's definitely Tide and you should not use any other brand.