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Ian Lance

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
277 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Merryn Talks Money
Cheap, Unloved, Profitable: The Case for Value Investing Today?

One of them's called Cord.

Merryn Talks Money
Cheap, Unloved, Profitable: The Case for Value Investing Today?

They're your shale producers.

Merryn Talks Money
Cheap, Unloved, Profitable: The Case for Value Investing Today?

And as you can imagine, they have performed quite well.

Merryn Talks Money
Cheap, Unloved, Profitable: The Case for Value Investing Today?

It's that sort of area.

Merryn Talks Money
Cheap, Unloved, Profitable: The Case for Value Investing Today?

I just think you have to look outside of mega cap US tech and so on and so forth.

Merryn Talks Money
Cheap, Unloved, Profitable: The Case for Value Investing Today?

It's a conversation I think that yourself and John had about a week ago, which is you could loosely call it complacency in the market.

Merryn Talks Money
Cheap, Unloved, Profitable: The Case for Value Investing Today?

which is the Strait of Hormuz, as we talked today, is still shut.

Merryn Talks Money
Cheap, Unloved, Profitable: The Case for Value Investing Today?

The oil price is still above $100.

Merryn Talks Money
Cheap, Unloved, Profitable: The Case for Value Investing Today?

Airlines are starting to cancel flights.

Merryn Talks Money
Cheap, Unloved, Profitable: The Case for Value Investing Today?

Some Asian countries have gone to a four-day working week.

Merryn Talks Money
Cheap, Unloved, Profitable: The Case for Value Investing Today?

And the S&P 500 has just hit an all-time high.

Merryn Talks Money
Cheap, Unloved, Profitable: The Case for Value Investing Today?

I think the Semiconductor Index has just done 18 consecutive up days.

Merryn Talks Money
Cheap, Unloved, Profitable: The Case for Value Investing Today?

There just seems to be an awful lot of complacency.

Merryn Talks Money
Cheap, Unloved, Profitable: The Case for Value Investing Today?

And you're absolutely right, we are not macroforecasters, but I don't think you have to be to say that eventually...

Merryn Talks Money
Cheap, Unloved, Profitable: The Case for Value Investing Today?

Energy prices or those sorts of levels is going to have an impact on the economy.

Merryn Talks Money
Cheap, Unloved, Profitable: The Case for Value Investing Today?

And if your starting point is very, very high levels of valuation, normally putting those two things together don't work out well.

Merryn Talks Money
Cheap, Unloved, Profitable: The Case for Value Investing Today?

And you're right.

Merryn Talks Money
Cheap, Unloved, Profitable: The Case for Value Investing Today?

From where we sit, we can look at our portfolio and say, yep, it's lowly values and we think we've built in a margin of safety.

Merryn Talks Money
Cheap, Unloved, Profitable: The Case for Value Investing Today?

But if the US market comes down, it's not going to sit there and just be completely immune from that.

Merryn Talks Money
Cheap, Unloved, Profitable: The Case for Value Investing Today?

So, yeah, I do find that sort of mildly worrying how people appear to have just become accustomed to buying the dip.