Jaeden Schaefer

These models don't think like humans.

They don't have consciousness, right?

They don't have beliefs or desires, despite what everyone's going to tell you over on X about the clawed bot or whatever, making its own social media network and overthrowing the humans and all that kind of stuff.

really what they have is this kind of statistical understanding of patterns in data, and of course, just this absolutely massive scale.

I think one thing that's important to remember is that intelligence itself is maybe the most pattern recognition kind of prediction thing there is, and once you scale that far enough, you start getting behavior that looks a lot like reasoning, but it's still just pattern recognition and prediction.

And that's why the last few years feel a lot different.

This isn't just, you know, it doesn't feel like we have this kind of like hype cycle based on a bunch of like, oh my gosh, we're so close to X, Y, and Z and AI being able to do X, Y, and Z. Like we're seeing these systems actually work.

We're seeing them generate actual real economic value.

They're actually transforming how, you know, I work.

They're transforming how people code, how people write, research, design, build businesses.

Like

these AIs are actually helping us.

And so I think we've got past a lot of the earlier hype.

Now, of course, there's still plenty of hype today and people are over-hyping many of their capabilities, but I mean, you just have to look at how fast we've already progressed.

I think from my perspective, this is just the beginning of what these are gonna be able to do, obviously, because we're seeing as you scale compute, as you scale data,

they get smarter so i don't think we've you know hit a wall on where we go with those i think we're still super super early models are getting cheaper faster more capable um you know you can think of this in like a way you have like open ai who spends billions of dollars to train models today

some point in the near future, those same models are gonna be trained at a fraction of the cost.

And anyone will be able to theoretically train those types of models.

And I think that's kind of a future where we move towards.

I think the tools are becoming a lot more accessible.