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Jake

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
5471 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
OpenAI's $150B conversion, Meta's AR glasses, Blue-collar boom, Risk of nuclear war

Have you guys taken music lessons lately? My kids do piano lessons, and so last year I started ducking in to do a 45-minute piano lesson with the piano teacher. There's just like a great aspect to paying for these services. It's fascinating you bring that up. Oh, here we go.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
OpenAI's $150B conversion, Meta's AR glasses, Blue-collar boom, Risk of nuclear war

Did you see that interview with Bob Dylan? I don't know when it was, recently, about how... Oh, and Ed Bradley, that clip?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
OpenAI's $150B conversion, Meta's AR glasses, Blue-collar boom, Risk of nuclear war

Did you see that interview with Bob Dylan? I don't know when it was, recently, about how... Oh, and Ed Bradley, that clip?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
OpenAI's $150B conversion, Meta's AR glasses, Blue-collar boom, Risk of nuclear war

About magic?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
OpenAI's $150B conversion, Meta's AR glasses, Blue-collar boom, Risk of nuclear war

About magic?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
OpenAI's $150B conversion, Meta's AR glasses, Blue-collar boom, Risk of nuclear war

Let me just tell you something. I think there's going to be a big war. I think by the time this show airs, Israel's incursion into Lebanon is going to get bigger. It's going to escalate. And by next week, we could be in a full-blown multinational war in the Middle East.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
OpenAI's $150B conversion, Meta's AR glasses, Blue-collar boom, Risk of nuclear war

Let me just tell you something. I think there's going to be a big war. I think by the time this show airs, Israel's incursion into Lebanon is going to get bigger. It's going to escalate. And by next week, we could be in a full-blown multinational war in the Middle East.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
OpenAI's $150B conversion, Meta's AR glasses, Blue-collar boom, Risk of nuclear war

And if I am, you know, a betting man, I would bet that the odds are, you know, more than 30, 40% that this happens before the election, that this conflict in the Middle East escalates.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
OpenAI's $150B conversion, Meta's AR glasses, Blue-collar boom, Risk of nuclear war

And if I am, you know, a betting man, I would bet that the odds are, you know, more than 30, 40% that this happens before the election, that this conflict in the Middle East escalates.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
OpenAI's $150B conversion, Meta's AR glasses, Blue-collar boom, Risk of nuclear war

And here's the situation. I really hope you're wrong. If Israel incurs further into Lebanon going after Hezbollah, And Iran ends up getting involved in a more active way. Does Russia start to provide supplies to Iran like we are supplying to Ukraine today? Does this sort of bring everyone to a line?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
OpenAI's $150B conversion, Meta's AR glasses, Blue-collar boom, Risk of nuclear war

And here's the situation. I really hope you're wrong. If Israel incurs further into Lebanon going after Hezbollah, And Iran ends up getting involved in a more active way. Does Russia start to provide supplies to Iran like we are supplying to Ukraine today? Does this sort of bring everyone to a line?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
OpenAI's $150B conversion, Meta's AR glasses, Blue-collar boom, Risk of nuclear war

Just to give you a sense of the scale of what Israel could then respond with, Iran has 600,000 active duty military, another 350,000 in reserve. They have dozens of ships, they have 19 submarines, they have a 600 kilometer range missile system.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
OpenAI's $150B conversion, Meta's AR glasses, Blue-collar boom, Risk of nuclear war

Just to give you a sense of the scale of what Israel could then respond with, Iran has 600,000 active duty military, another 350,000 in reserve. They have dozens of ships, they have 19 submarines, they have a 600 kilometer range missile system.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
OpenAI's $150B conversion, Meta's AR glasses, Blue-collar boom, Risk of nuclear war

Israel has 170,000 active duty and half a million reserve personnel, 15 warships, five submarines, potentially up to 400 nuclear weapons, including a very wide range of tactical sub one kiloton nuclear weapons, small payload. You could see that if Israel starts to feel incurred upon further, they could respond in a more aggressive way with what is by far and away

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
OpenAI's $150B conversion, Meta's AR glasses, Blue-collar boom, Risk of nuclear war

Israel has 170,000 active duty and half a million reserve personnel, 15 warships, five submarines, potentially up to 400 nuclear weapons, including a very wide range of tactical sub one kiloton nuclear weapons, small payload. You could see that if Israel starts to feel incurred upon further, they could respond in a more aggressive way with what is by far and away

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
OpenAI's $150B conversion, Meta's AR glasses, Blue-collar boom, Risk of nuclear war

the most significantly stocked arsenal and military force in the Middle East. Again, we've talked about what are these other countries going to do? What is Jordan going to do in this situation? How are the Saudis going to respond? What is Russia going to do?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
OpenAI's $150B conversion, Meta's AR glasses, Blue-collar boom, Risk of nuclear war

the most significantly stocked arsenal and military force in the Middle East. Again, we've talked about what are these other countries going to do? What is Jordan going to do in this situation? How are the Saudis going to respond? What is Russia going to do?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
OpenAI's $150B conversion, Meta's AR glasses, Blue-collar boom, Risk of nuclear war

Well, you know, so just to give you a sense- It's insane.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
OpenAI's $150B conversion, Meta's AR glasses, Blue-collar boom, Risk of nuclear war

Well, you know, so just to give you a sense- It's insane.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
OpenAI's $150B conversion, Meta's AR glasses, Blue-collar boom, Risk of nuclear war

Yeah. So the nuclear bombs that were set off during World War II, I just want to show you how crazy this is. Do you see that image on the left? that all the way over on the left, that's a bunker buster. You guys remember those from Afghanistan and the damage that those bunker buster bombs caused? Hiroshima is a 15 kiloton nuclear, and you can see the size of it there on the left.