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James Gruber

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
996 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

CommSec Market Update
AM 13 May 26: ASX to fall after ambitious budget

Finally, the budget delivered a $215 income tax offset for all salaried workers for 2027-28%.

CommSec Market Update
AM 13 May 26: ASX to fall after ambitious budget

All up, the projected budget deficits are now slightly lower over the budget period by around $45 billion, mainly due to more windfall revenue.

CommSec Market Update
AM 13 May 26: ASX to fall after ambitious budget

CBA economists think this is a big plus from the budget, that is, the improvement in the budget position driven by NDIS savings and new revenue measures.

CommSec Market Update
AM 13 May 26: ASX to fall after ambitious budget

But they say the negative is that there will still be higher spending in the near term.

CommSec Market Update
AM 13 May 26: ASX to fall after ambitious budget

which will make the RBA's job to bring down inflation harder.

CommSec Market Update
AM 13 May 26: ASX to fall after ambitious budget

All up, they describe the having big ambitions with mixed results, and they maintain their view that interest rates will remain on hold for the remainder of this year.

CommSec Market Update
AM 13 May 26: ASX to fall after ambitious budget

So how will the market receive this budget?

CommSec Market Update
AM 13 May 26: ASX to fall after ambitious budget

Well, index futures are fairly muted, down 0.1%.

CommSec Market Update
AM 13 May 26: ASX to fall after ambitious budget

But given the budget leaks, perhaps much of the reaction was already priced in, with the ASX lagging most other major markets over the past week.

CommSec Market Update
AM 13 May 26: ASX to fall after ambitious budget

Let's now take a deeper look at what's happened with commodities and currencies overnight.

CommSec Market Update
AM 13 May 26: ASX to fall after ambitious budget

On commodity markets, global oil prices rose as hopes of peace in the Middle East dwindled.

CommSec Market Update
AM 13 May 26: ASX to fall after ambitious budget

Brent crude futures settled 3.4% higher at $107.77 a barrel.

CommSec Market Update
AM 13 May 26: ASX to fall after ambitious budget

Base metal prices were higher due to supply issues and bullish technical signals.

CommSec Market Update
AM 13 May 26: ASX to fall after ambitious budget

Copper futures rose 1.1% while aluminium futures jumped 1.7%.

CommSec Market Update
AM 13 May 26: ASX to fall after ambitious budget

Let's take a look at currencies.

CommSec Market Update
AM 13 May 26: ASX to fall after ambitious budget

They were lower against the US dollar as investors sought to dial down risk.

CommSec Market Update
AM 13 May 26: ASX to fall after ambitious budget

The euro dipped 0.4% to 1.1741 US dollars.

CommSec Market Update
AM 13 May 26: ASX to fall after ambitious budget

The Japanese yen fell 0.3% to 157.59 yen.

CommSec Market Update
AM 13 May 26: ASX to fall after ambitious budget

And the Aussie dollar declined 0.2% to 72.38 US cents.

CommSec Market Update
AM 13 May 26: ASX to fall after ambitious budget

Let's head to Wall Street.