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James Gruber

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
1119 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

CommSec Market Update
Morning Report 29 Apr 26: US stocks fall on renewed AI worries

Barclays paired earlier losses ending 0.2% lower after the British bank flagged a $308 million US hit linked to collapsed lender MFS.

CommSec Market Update
Morning Report 29 Apr 26: US stocks fall on renewed AI worries

The broader banking index, however, gained 1.3%, helping curb losses on the indices.

CommSec Market Update
Morning Report 29 Apr 26: US stocks fall on renewed AI worries

The energy sector was up 0.6%, lifted by BP, which gained 1.1% after it beat first quarter profit estimates.

CommSec Market Update
Morning Report 29 Apr 26: US stocks fall on renewed AI worries

It's now time for the watch list.

CommSec Market Update
Morning Report 29 Apr 26: US stocks fall on renewed AI worries

In Australia, inflation figures for March are out today, with CBA economists forecasting a jump of 1.1% month-on-month and 4.6% year-on-year.

CommSec Market Update
Morning Report 29 Apr 26: US stocks fall on renewed AI worries

Woodside is scheduled to release its March quarter update too.

CommSec Market Update
Morning Report 29 Apr 26: US stocks fall on renewed AI worries

In the US, the Federal Reserve will hand down its decision on interest rates today, with rates expected to remain on hold.

CommSec Market Update
Morning Report 29 Apr 26: US stocks fall on renewed AI worries

There are also earnings reports out from Visa this morning, our time, and tomorrow morning from four of the magnificent seven companies, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Microsoft.

CommSec Market Update
Morning Report 29 Apr 26: US stocks fall on renewed AI worries

And now it's time for our one more thing segment.

CommSec Market Update
Morning Report 29 Apr 26: US stocks fall on renewed AI worries

Well, we're almost into the month of May and there's the old market saying that investors should sell in May and go away.

CommSec Market Update
Morning Report 29 Apr 26: US stocks fall on renewed AI worries

Is it myth or fact though?

CommSec Market Update
Morning Report 29 Apr 26: US stocks fall on renewed AI worries

Data from the US going back almost 100 years shows that the average and median returns from May to October, while lower than November to April, are still positive at 3.2% and 5.3% respectively.

CommSec Market Update
Morning Report 29 Apr 26: US stocks fall on renewed AI worries

Interestingly, though, the biggest downdrafts appear during years leading up to midterm elections in the US.

CommSec Market Update
Morning Report 29 Apr 26: US stocks fall on renewed AI worries

Academic research suggests this may be caused by uncertainties brought by midterms, which are naturally resolved when the elections take place in November.

CommSec Market Update
Morning Report 29 Apr 26: US stocks fall on renewed AI worries

In Australia, the sell-in-May phenomenon hasn't been such a great strategy because here we have idiosyncratic factors such as many companies trading ex-dividend between August and October, which can lead to stocks being bid up during what is globally a soft period.

CommSec Market Update
Morning Report 29 Apr 26: US stocks fall on renewed AI worries

And that's it for today.

CommSec Market Update
Morning Report 29 Apr 26: US stocks fall on renewed AI worries

The ComSec Media and Markets team is monitoring developments on today's local trading session, so check out our afternoon episode of the podcast for all the key updates.

CommSec Market Update
Morning Report 29 Apr 26: US stocks fall on renewed AI worries

I'm James Gruber.

CommSec Market Update
Morning Report 29 Apr 26: US stocks fall on renewed AI worries

Have a great day.

CommSec Market Update
Morning Report 28 Apr 26: ASX set to drop as oil climbs

The Australian share market set for a drop at the open, but Wall Street is continuing to hover near record highs.