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James Kirby

πŸ‘€ Speaker
2867 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Money Puzzle
Who really gets hit with higher rates?

We used to picture young families, basically, with small children.

The Money Puzzle
Who really gets hit with higher rates?

Has that actually changed?

The Money Puzzle
Who really gets hit with higher rates?

Is there much more regularly?

The Money Puzzle
Who really gets hit with higher rates?

Are there older people in that cohort now?

The Money Puzzle
Who really gets hit with higher rates?

Right.

The Money Puzzle
Who really gets hit with higher rates?

So once upon a time when you had a mortgage rate rise, you were really hitting younger families in the suburbs.

The Money Puzzle
Who really gets hit with higher rates?

You're now hitting...

The Money Puzzle
Who really gets hit with higher rates?

Possibly a group that hasn't expanded much at all, possibly in the fullness of time may get smaller, but it will definitely get older.

The Money Puzzle
Who really gets hit with higher rates?

And that group is actually people may more likely be in their mid 40s, mid 50s with mortgages.

The Money Puzzle
Who really gets hit with higher rates?

Yeah.

The Money Puzzle
Who really gets hit with higher rates?

Is that how it's sort of?

The Money Puzzle
Who really gets hit with higher rates?

Right, right.

The Money Puzzle
Who really gets hit with higher rates?

And to your point that they don't have to move them much for the pain to hit, if you like, because this cohort is so indebted.

The Money Puzzle
Who really gets hit with higher rates?

Then one last question is, there are some senior economists out there who you know, I'm sure, who are talking that there's still two more rate rises to come, even if, you know, from the rest of the year.

The Money Puzzle
Who really gets hit with higher rates?

Do you think that's the case?

The Money Puzzle
Who really gets hit with higher rates?

Less rather than more interest rate rises.

The Money Puzzle
Who really gets hit with higher rates?

And it can turn on a dime.

The Money Puzzle
Who really gets hit with higher rates?

Yeah.

The Money Puzzle
Who really gets hit with higher rates?

As you say, it's really just where the betting is at in terms of those money markets.

The Money Puzzle
Who really gets hit with higher rates?

Yeah.