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James Kynge

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
759 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Why Apple Can't Quit China (ft. Patrick McGee)

chief strategist at the China International Capital Corporation, which is a famous investment bank in China.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Why Apple Can't Quit China (ft. Patrick McGee)

Some people call it the Goldman Sachs of China.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Why Apple Can't Quit China (ft. Patrick McGee)

And he said that because China's manufacturing competitiveness is so strong, a window for renminbi appreciation is opening.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Why Apple Can't Quit China (ft. Patrick McGee)

And then another quite influential Chinese voice, Wei-jen Shan, who is chief executive of a private equity company called PAG.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Why Apple Can't Quit China (ft. Patrick McGee)

He's based in Hong Kong.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Why Apple Can't Quit China (ft. Patrick McGee)

He said, and this is even more dramatic, that a gradual appreciation of at least 50 percent

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Why Apple Can't Quit China (ft. Patrick McGee)

in the value of the renminbi over the next five years would be both feasible and beneficial to China.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Why Apple Can't Quit China (ft. Patrick McGee)

So I don't know if we agree on his estimate there of over 50%, but in the minds of several economists and some of the data that you've just been quoting, the renminbi is severely undervalued.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Why Apple Can't Quit China (ft. Patrick McGee)

We're talking 20, 30.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Why Apple Can't Quit China (ft. Patrick McGee)

And so if...

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Why Apple Can't Quit China (ft. Patrick McGee)

This really does change now.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Why Apple Can't Quit China (ft. Patrick McGee)

Even if there's a gradual appreciation that goes on for several years to come, so many things will change.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Why Apple Can't Quit China (ft. Patrick McGee)

China's appetite for imports may well change because it means that imports will become cheaper to Chinese people.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Why Apple Can't Quit China (ft. Patrick McGee)

Maybe investors all over the world will say, oh, Chinese assets are

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Why Apple Can't Quit China (ft. Patrick McGee)

are going to become more valuable relative to the US dollar as the renminbi climbs against the US dollar.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Why Apple Can't Quit China (ft. Patrick McGee)

And so therefore, let's buy some of these Chinese stocks.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Why Apple Can't Quit China (ft. Patrick McGee)

I mean, I remember I was in Japan in the 80s.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Why Apple Can't Quit China (ft. Patrick McGee)

I remember that happening in such a massive way in the 80s after the yen began to appreciate post the Plaza Accord in 1985, I think it was.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Why Apple Can't Quit China (ft. Patrick McGee)

And we saw huge

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Why Apple Can't Quit China (ft. Patrick McGee)

huge tidal waves of capital inflows into the Japanese market.