James Kynge
๐ค SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
If China cannot right its lopsided economy, then sooner or later, and we're probably talking about later, several years in the future, this economy will crash.
And the solution to the problem is simply to return more of the fruits of China's advancement to its people.
In terms of per capita disposable incomes last year, the average in China was $6,070.
That was up just 5%.
So what you're seeing is a lot of resources going into gunning the high-tech sector of the economy, making China the manufacturing superstar in the world.
but at the expense of returning more of the earnings to ordinary people, to workers, white collar and blue collar.
If China can't return more of the fruits of its advancement to those people, then they're not gonna have enough money to spend in order to buy the things that China makes
And China is going to remain in this deflationary spiral going forward.
And the world is going to have to continue buying incredibly cheap Chinese products and thereby boosting China's export performance at the expense of competitors all over the world.
So, you know, I think a lot of economists really hope that China can do something to stimulate per capita disposable incomes in China.
But my guess is that will not really happen in 2026.
Yeah, no, I mean, I just think it's so stark that more than the entire population of Japan in China are people living alone.
You know, people between the ages of 20 and 49 living alone.
Not having very much social contact.
A lot of their contact with other people comes through these apps.
We all know what it's like.
I mean, I suppose we've all sat at home and doom-scrolled.
I've been ill last week, so I was doom-scrolling quite a bit sitting at home.
And I tell you, your mental health really gets affected by that, you know.
So...