James Manyika
speaker
174 appearances
1 recordings
1 series
first heard Sep 2021
last heard Sep 2021
James Manyika’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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right they still do for some sectors but not less so for many other sectors i mean so we're less likely to do that part of that is technology the fact that in some ways manufacturing has changed we can now going forward do things more like 3d printing and so forth so the industrialization path is less available to poor countries than it used to be in fact economists like danny rodrick have written about this and called it this kind of
premature deindustrialization challenge, which is facing many low-income countries.
So we have to think about what is the path for those countries.
And by the way, these are countries, if you think about it from the point of view of technology and AI in particular,
The AI technological competition globally rapidly seems to have come down to be a race between the US, led by the US, but increasingly by China.
And others are largely being left behind.
And that includes, in some cases, parts of Europe, but for sure, parts of the poor developing economies.
So the question is, in a future in which capacity for technology is developing at different paces, dramatically different paces for different countries,
and the nature of globalization itself is changing, what is the path for these poor developing countries?
I think that's a very tough question that we don't have very many good answers for, by the way.
But we are just people who think about developing economies and developing economies themselves.
I think that's one of the tough challenges, I think, for the next several decades of the 21st century.
Well, I think on the question of these kind of left-behind countries and economies, as I said, these are topics we're trying to research and understand.
I don't think we have any kind of pat, simple solutions to them.
We do know, though, that in fact, some of the things, if you look at the pattern, a lot of our work is very empirical.
We're typically looking at what has happened and what is actually happening on the ground.
One of the things that you do see for developing economies is that
The developing economies that are part of a regional ecosystem, either because of their value chains and supply chains.
So take the case of a country like Vietnam.
It's kind of in the value chain ecosystem around China, for example.
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