James Manyika

as to when they think AGI would be achieved.

What came out of it is a very wide range from 2029, and I think that was Ray Kurzweil who stuck to his date, and all the way to something like 500 years from now.

That's a group of people who are deep in the field, and you get that very wide range.

I think

For me, I'm much more interested in the real things that we're going to need to break through.

And I don't know when we'll make those breakthroughs.

It could be imminent.

It could be a long time from now.

But there just seem to me to be some really hard problems to solve.

But if you take the view, right, to follow your thought, if you take the view, the thought experiment to say, OK, let's just assume we truly achieve AGI in all its sense, both in the

AGI in the, you know, some people say in the oracular.

I mean, it depends what form of the AGI it takes.

If the AGI takes the form of both the cognitive part of that, coupled with the embodiment of that of physical machines that can physically, you know, participate, and you truly have AGI in a fully embodied sense as well, in addition to a cognitive sense, what happens to humans at work in that case?

I don't know.

I think that's where presumably those machines allow us to create enormous surpluses and bounties in an economic sense.

So presumably we can afford to pay everybody, to give everybody money and resources.

And so then the question is, in a world of true abundance, because presumably they'll help us solve these machines, AGRs will help us solve those things.

In a world of true abundance, what do people do in that?

I guess it's akin, as somebody said, to Star Trek economy.

What do people do in a Star Trek economy when they can replicate and do everything?