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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Bloomberg Talks
JPMorgan's Dimon Talks Iran War, Inflation, Credit Cycles 

Hi, Lisa.

Bloomberg Talks
JPMorgan's Dimon Talks Iran War, Inflation, Credit Cycles 

Hi, Bloomberg.

Bloomberg Talks
JPMorgan's Dimon Talks Iran War, Inflation, Credit Cycles 

Not really.

Bloomberg Talks
JPMorgan's Dimon Talks Iran War, Inflation, Credit Cycles 

So one of our brilliant folks wrote a report years ago, Mike Semlos, that if you look at all these wars around the world since World War II,

Bloomberg Talks
JPMorgan's Dimon Talks Iran War, Inflation, Credit Cycles 

The market reacts, but it never had a real long-term effect other than the Israeli conflict where the oil prices tripled and went out for an extended period of time in 1973.

Bloomberg Talks
JPMorgan's Dimon Talks Iran War, Inflation, Credit Cycles 

So the world kind of takes its stride, but geopolitics is a major issue.

Bloomberg Talks
JPMorgan's Dimon Talks Iran War, Inflation, Credit Cycles 

It's much more complex today than it has been since World War II.

Bloomberg Talks
JPMorgan's Dimon Talks Iran War, Inflation, Credit Cycles 

I'm talking about Ukraine, Russia, Iran, North Korea, all related with China.

Bloomberg Talks
JPMorgan's Dimon Talks Iran War, Inflation, Credit Cycles 

And that could have an effect, but it may not.

Bloomberg Talks
JPMorgan's Dimon Talks Iran War, Inflation, Credit Cycles 

So these things may diminish over time.

Bloomberg Talks
JPMorgan's Dimon Talks Iran War, Inflation, Credit Cycles 

This war with Iran, if it's short and oil goes to 80 or 90 or 100, but it's short and not prolonged, it probably won't have a major effect.

Bloomberg Talks
JPMorgan's Dimon Talks Iran War, Inflation, Credit Cycles 

If it becomes prolonged, then all bets are off the table.

Bloomberg Talks
JPMorgan's Dimon Talks Iran War, Inflation, Credit Cycles 

Well, I think that's true, but I think that was true before this war.

Bloomberg Talks
JPMorgan's Dimon Talks Iran War, Inflation, Credit Cycles 

So if you look at, you know, my view is that the price, asset price is kind of high, credit price is kind of low.

Bloomberg Talks
JPMorgan's Dimon Talks Iran War, Inflation, Credit Cycles 

It's kind of a lot of complacency in the market.

Bloomberg Talks
JPMorgan's Dimon Talks Iran War, Inflation, Credit Cycles 

I'm not sure, you know, we look at risk, we look at the broad range of outcomes, and there are negative outcomes, but one of them would be, you know, inflation.

Bloomberg Talks
JPMorgan's Dimon Talks Iran War, Inflation, Credit Cycles 

I call it, that's the skunk at the party.

Bloomberg Talks
JPMorgan's Dimon Talks Iran War, Inflation, Credit Cycles 

So it's been coming down, but it seems to maybe have leveled off around 3%.

Bloomberg Talks
JPMorgan's Dimon Talks Iran War, Inflation, Credit Cycles 

If things make it go up, and this is only one thing,

Bloomberg Talks
JPMorgan's Dimon Talks Iran War, Inflation, Credit Cycles 

You can look at medical prices, construction prices, insurance prices, wages for certain things.

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