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Jan Kulveit

👤 Speaker
279 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"Why You Don’t Believe in Xhosa Prophecies" by Jan_Kulveit

Back to the question.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"Why You Don’t Believe in Xhosa Prophecies" by Jan_Kulveit

In 1856, a young Corsa woman named Nonkewas had a vision.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"Why You Don’t Believe in Xhosa Prophecies" by Jan_Kulveit

If the Corsa people killed all their cattle and destroyed their grain, their ancestors would rise from the grave, bring better cattle, and drive out the British colonizers.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"Why You Don’t Believe in Xhosa Prophecies" by Jan_Kulveit

The community was dealing with a cattle disease epidemic, which made this more plausible.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"Why You Don’t Believe in Xhosa Prophecies" by Jan_Kulveit

They adopted the belief.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"Why You Don’t Believe in Xhosa Prophecies" by Jan_Kulveit

They killed approximately 400,000 cattle.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"Why You Don’t Believe in Xhosa Prophecies" by Jan_Kulveit

A year later, about 40,000 people had died from starvation.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"Why You Don’t Believe in Xhosa Prophecies" by Jan_Kulveit

The survivors were forced to seek help from the colonizers they'd hoped to expel.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"Why You Don’t Believe in Xhosa Prophecies" by Jan_Kulveit

The community disintegrated.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"Why You Don’t Believe in Xhosa Prophecies" by Jan_Kulveit

From the perspective of cultural evolution, these memes destroyed their hosts.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"Why You Don’t Believe in Xhosa Prophecies" by Jan_Kulveit

But notice.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"Why You Don’t Believe in Xhosa Prophecies" by Jan_Kulveit

You're not a believer in coarser cattle-killing prophesies.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"Why You Don’t Believe in Xhosa Prophecies" by Jan_Kulveit

As far as I can tell nobody is.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"Why You Don’t Believe in Xhosa Prophecies" by Jan_Kulveit

The memes didn't survive either.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"Why You Don’t Believe in Xhosa Prophecies" by Jan_Kulveit

The belief died with the community that it destroyed.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"Why You Don’t Believe in Xhosa Prophecies" by Jan_Kulveit

There's an image here.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"Why You Don’t Believe in Xhosa Prophecies" by Jan_Kulveit

Heading.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"Why You Don’t Believe in Xhosa Prophecies" by Jan_Kulveit

Virulence.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"Why You Don’t Believe in Xhosa Prophecies" by Jan_Kulveit

There's a concept in epidemiology called the virulence transmission trade-off.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"Why You Don’t Believe in Xhosa Prophecies" by Jan_Kulveit

If a pathogen is too deadly, it doesn't spread well.